The India Meteorological Department’s latest forecast for Lucknow projects a maximum temperature of 41°C on May 17 under mainly clear pre-monsoon skies, anchoring the market’s overwhelming 99.9% implied probability for the 41°C-or-below outcome. This aligns with recent observations of suppressed daytime heating from lingering moisture and thunderstorm activity earlier in May, keeping readings several degrees below the seasonal 40–43°C climatological baseline for the Ganges Plain. With minimal spread among short-range models and no significant shift in steering patterns or solar insolation expected before sunset, traders see little room for upward revisions. The official high recorded at Chaudhary Charan Singh International Airport will resolve the market, though any final IMD update citing unexpected clearing or drier air could still introduce modest uncertainty.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया17 मई को लखनऊ में सबसे अधिक तापमान?
41°C or below 99.8%
42°C <1%
43°C <1%
46°C <1%
$44,488 वॉल्यूम
$44,488 वॉल्यूम
41°C or below
100%
42°C
<1%
43°C
<1%
44°C
<1%
45°C
<1%
46°C
<1%
47°C
<1%
48°C
<1%
49°C
<1%
50°C
<1%
51°C or higher
<1%
41°C or below 99.8%
42°C <1%
43°C <1%
46°C <1%
$44,488 वॉल्यूम
$44,488 वॉल्यूम
41°C or below
100%
42°C
<1%
43°C
<1%
44°C
<1%
45°C
<1%
46°C
<1%
47°C
<1%
48°C
<1%
49°C
<1%
50°C
<1%
51°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
बाज़ार खुला: May 15, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The India Meteorological Department’s latest forecast for Lucknow projects a maximum temperature of 41°C on May 17 under mainly clear pre-monsoon skies, anchoring the market’s overwhelming 99.9% implied probability for the 41°C-or-below outcome. This aligns with recent observations of suppressed daytime heating from lingering moisture and thunderstorm activity earlier in May, keeping readings several degrees below the seasonal 40–43°C climatological baseline for the Ganges Plain. With minimal spread among short-range models and no significant shift in steering patterns or solar insolation expected before sunset, traders see little room for upward revisions. The official high recorded at Chaudhary Charan Singh International Airport will resolve the market, though any final IMD update citing unexpected clearing or drier air could still introduce modest uncertainty.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
बाहरी लिंक से सावधान रहें।
बाहरी लिंक से सावधान रहें।
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