Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns 100% implied probability to a highest temperature of 19°C in Madrid on May 5, 2026, driven by the latest Agencia Estatal de Meteorología (AEMET) forecast specifying a daily maximum of 19°C under partly cloudy skies, light northerly winds at 10 km/h, and zero precipitation risk. This positioning reflects model consensus from ECMWF and GFS runs showing a stable continental air mass with cool advection from the north, keeping conditions below seasonal May averages of 21–23°C. Observations at Adolfo Suárez Madrid–Barajas Airport—the market's resolution source via Wunderground—align with this cap as the afternoon peak passes without intensifying solar heating. Realistic challenges include abrupt wind shifts allowing downslope warming or prolonged clear skies, though hourly guidance indicates negligible odds as evening approaches.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गयाHighest temperature in Madrid on May 5?
Highest temperature in Madrid on May 5?
19°C 100.0%
14°C or below <1%
15°C <1%
16°C <1%
$114,634 वॉल्यूम
$114,634 वॉल्यूम
5 मई, 2026
14°C or below
No
15°C
No
16°C
No
17°C
No
18°C
No
19°C
Yes
20°C
No
21°C
No
22°C
No
23°C
No
24°C or higher
No
19°C 100.0%
14°C or below <1%
15°C <1%
16°C <1%
$114,634 वॉल्यूम
$114,634 वॉल्यूम
5 मई, 2026
14°C or below
$704 वॉल्यूम
No
15°C
$4,494 वॉल्यूम
No
16°C
$5,785 वॉल्यूम
No
17°C
$7,588 वॉल्यूम
No
18°C
$10,393 वॉल्यूम
No
19°C
$13,723 वॉल्यूम
Yes
20°C
$12,687 वॉल्यूम
No
21°C
$12,597 वॉल्यूम
No
22°C
$8,065 वॉल्यूम
No
23°C
$19,353 वॉल्यूम
No
24°C or higher
$19,244 वॉल्यूम
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns 100% implied probability to a highest temperature of 19°C in Madrid on May 5, 2026, driven by the latest Agencia Estatal de Meteorología (AEMET) forecast specifying a daily maximum of 19°C under partly cloudy skies, light northerly winds at 10 km/h, and zero precipitation risk. This positioning reflects model consensus from ECMWF and GFS runs showing a stable continental air mass with cool advection from the north, keeping conditions below seasonal May averages of 21–23°C. Observations at Adolfo Suárez Madrid–Barajas Airport—the market's resolution source via Wunderground—align with this cap as the afternoon peak passes without intensifying solar heating. Realistic challenges include abrupt wind shifts allowing downslope warming or prolonged clear skies, though hourly guidance indicates negligible odds as evening approaches.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
बाज़ार खुला: May 3, 2026, 12:33 AM ET
वॉल्यूम
$114,634समाप्ति तिथि
5 मई, 2026बाज़ार खुला
May 3, 2026, 12:33 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...परिणाम प्रस्तावित: No
कोई विवाद नहीं
अंतिम परिणाम: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns 100% implied probability to a highest temperature of 19°C in Madrid on May 5, 2026, driven by the latest Agencia Estatal de Meteorología (AEMET) forecast specifying a daily maximum of 19°C under partly cloudy skies, light northerly winds at 10 km/h, and zero precipitation risk. This positioning reflects model consensus from ECMWF and GFS runs showing a stable continental air mass with cool advection from the north, keeping conditions below seasonal May averages of 21–23°C. Observations at Adolfo Suárez Madrid–Barajas Airport—the market's resolution source via Wunderground—align with this cap as the afternoon peak passes without intensifying solar heating. Realistic challenges include abrupt wind shifts allowing downslope warming or prolonged clear skies, though hourly guidance indicates negligible odds as evening approaches.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
वॉल्यूम
$114,634समाप्ति तिथि
5 मई, 2026बाज़ार खुला
May 3, 2026, 12:33 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...परिणाम प्रस्तावित: No
कोई विवाद नहीं
अंतिम परिणाम: No
Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns 100% implied probability to a highest temperature of 19°C in Madrid on May 5, 2026, driven by the latest Agencia Estatal de Meteorología (AEMET) forecast specifying a daily maximum of 19°C under partly cloudy skies, light northerly winds at 10 km/h, and zero precipitation risk. This positioning reflects model consensus from ECMWF and GFS runs showing a stable continental air mass with cool advection from the north, keeping conditions below seasonal May averages of 21–23°C. Observations at Adolfo Suárez Madrid–Barajas Airport—the market's resolution source via Wunderground—align with this cap as the afternoon peak passes without intensifying solar heating. Realistic challenges include abrupt wind shifts allowing downslope warming or prolonged clear skies, though hourly guidance indicates negligible odds as evening approaches.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
बाहरी लिंक से सावधान रहें।
बाहरी लिंक से सावधान रहें।
अक्सर पूछे जाने वाले प्रश्न