Current forecasts from Météo-France and supporting model runs indicate a peak temperature of 16°C for Paris today, driving the overwhelming 97.7% market-implied probability for that outcome. Persistent cloud cover and light winds have limited daytime heating, keeping readings aligned with the seasonal average high near 18°C but suppressed by ongoing unstable conditions. Official observations through the afternoon confirm the high will settle in the mid-teens Celsius, with any brief clearing unlikely to push readings into the 17–18°C range. Resolution hinges on the precise maximum recorded before evening cooling, though updated guidance shows minimal chance of deviation. Traders are weighting the latest observational data and consensus models heavily, as historical May patterns and current atmospheric stability reinforce this narrow range.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया17 मई को पेरिस में सबसे अधिक तापमान?
16°C 98.5%
17°C 1.6%
18°C <1%
19°C <1%
$124,338 वॉल्यूम
$124,338 वॉल्यूम
10°C or below
<1%
11°C
<1%
12°C
<1%
13°C
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
99%
17°C
2%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C or higher
<1%
16°C 98.5%
17°C 1.6%
18°C <1%
19°C <1%
$124,338 वॉल्यूम
$124,338 वॉल्यूम
10°C or below
<1%
11°C
<1%
12°C
<1%
13°C
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
99%
17°C
2%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
बाज़ार खुला: May 15, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Current forecasts from Météo-France and supporting model runs indicate a peak temperature of 16°C for Paris today, driving the overwhelming 97.7% market-implied probability for that outcome. Persistent cloud cover and light winds have limited daytime heating, keeping readings aligned with the seasonal average high near 18°C but suppressed by ongoing unstable conditions. Official observations through the afternoon confirm the high will settle in the mid-teens Celsius, with any brief clearing unlikely to push readings into the 17–18°C range. Resolution hinges on the precise maximum recorded before evening cooling, though updated guidance shows minimal chance of deviation. Traders are weighting the latest observational data and consensus models heavily, as historical May patterns and current atmospheric stability reinforce this narrow range.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
बाहरी लिंक से सावधान रहें।
बाहरी लिंक से सावधान रहें।
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