Recent ensemble forecasts from Météo-France and European models indicate mostly cloudy skies and light winds over Paris on May 17, which limit solar heating and keep the daily maximum temperature centered near 15–16°C. These conditions reduce incoming shortwave radiation while suppressing vertical mixing that could otherwise bring warmer air to the surface, aligning with the market’s heaviest implied probability on 16°C. Brief afternoon breaks in cloud cover remain possible and could add 1–2°C, accounting for the secondary support at 17°C. With the resolution window now open and official observations underway, traders are weighting the latest model consensus against climatological May averages near 18°C, producing the current tight clustering around the leading outcomes.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया17 मई को पेरिस में सबसे अधिक तापमान?
16°C 47%
15°C 35%
17°C 15%
14°C 3.9%
$57,101 वॉल्यूम
$57,101 वॉल्यूम
10°C or below
<1%
11°C
<1%
12°C
<1%
13°C
<1%
14°C
4%
15°C
35%
16°C
47%
17°C
15%
18°C
1%
19°C
1%
20°C or higher
<1%
16°C 47%
15°C 35%
17°C 15%
14°C 3.9%
$57,101 वॉल्यूम
$57,101 वॉल्यूम
10°C or below
<1%
11°C
<1%
12°C
<1%
13°C
<1%
14°C
4%
15°C
35%
16°C
47%
17°C
15%
18°C
1%
19°C
1%
20°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
बाज़ार खुला: May 15, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Recent ensemble forecasts from Météo-France and European models indicate mostly cloudy skies and light winds over Paris on May 17, which limit solar heating and keep the daily maximum temperature centered near 15–16°C. These conditions reduce incoming shortwave radiation while suppressing vertical mixing that could otherwise bring warmer air to the surface, aligning with the market’s heaviest implied probability on 16°C. Brief afternoon breaks in cloud cover remain possible and could add 1–2°C, accounting for the secondary support at 17°C. With the resolution window now open and official observations underway, traders are weighting the latest model consensus against climatological May averages near 18°C, producing the current tight clustering around the leading outcomes.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
बाहरी लिंक से सावधान रहें।
बाहरी लिंक से सावधान रहें।
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