Recent forecast updates from the Korea Meteorological Administration highlight a southerly flow advecting warmer, moist air across the Korean Peninsula, establishing the dominant driver behind the 79.5% market-implied probability for Seoul’s highest temperature on May 18 reaching 25°C or above. Ensemble guidance from global models projects afternoon maxima in the mid-20s Celsius under partly cloudy skies, aligning with mid-May climatological norms near 22–24°C while elevated by above-average Yellow Sea sea-surface temperatures that enhance boundary-layer warming. Modest model spread persists around cloud cover and wind shifts that could cap readings near 24°C, with traders monitoring the final KMA briefing and official observatory data for resolution.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया18 मई को सियोल में सबसे अधिक तापमान?
25°C or higher 80%
24°C 19%
23°C 3.9%
22°C <1%
$79,618 वॉल्यूम
$79,618 वॉल्यूम
15°C or below
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
1%
23°C
4%
24°C
19%
25°C or higher
80%
25°C or higher 80%
24°C 19%
23°C 3.9%
22°C <1%
$79,618 वॉल्यूम
$79,618 वॉल्यूम
15°C or below
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
1%
23°C
4%
24°C
19%
25°C or higher
80%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
बाज़ार खुला: May 16, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Recent forecast updates from the Korea Meteorological Administration highlight a southerly flow advecting warmer, moist air across the Korean Peninsula, establishing the dominant driver behind the 79.5% market-implied probability for Seoul’s highest temperature on May 18 reaching 25°C or above. Ensemble guidance from global models projects afternoon maxima in the mid-20s Celsius under partly cloudy skies, aligning with mid-May climatological norms near 22–24°C while elevated by above-average Yellow Sea sea-surface temperatures that enhance boundary-layer warming. Modest model spread persists around cloud cover and wind shifts that could cap readings near 24°C, with traders monitoring the final KMA briefing and official observatory data for resolution.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
बाहरी लिंक से सावधान रहें।
बाहरी लिंक से सावधान रहें।
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