Recent Japan Meteorological Agency forecasts position Tokyo’s official maximum temperature at 28 °C for May 17 at the Otemachi station, driven by a persistent high-pressure ridge promoting southerly warm advection and strong afternoon solar heating under mostly clear skies. This stable synoptic pattern aligns with mid-May climatological norms while favoring the upper end of the daily range, producing high model consensus across short-range numerical weather prediction systems. Traders have accordingly concentrated near-100 % implied probability on the 28 °C outcome, reflecting the narrow uncertainty envelope typical of high-confidence, late-stage forecasts. The primary scenarios that could still alter resolution remain an unexpected late-model shift in cloud cover or a localized measurement deviation at the official station.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया17 मई को टोक्यो में सबसे अधिक तापमान?
28°C 100.0%
20°C or below <1%
21°C <1%
22°C <1%
$94,339 वॉल्यूम
$94,339 वॉल्यूम
20°C or below
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
100%
29°C
<1%
30°C or higher
<1%
28°C 100.0%
20°C or below <1%
21°C <1%
22°C <1%
$94,339 वॉल्यूम
$94,339 वॉल्यूम
20°C or below
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
100%
29°C
<1%
30°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
बाज़ार खुला: May 15, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Recent Japan Meteorological Agency forecasts position Tokyo’s official maximum temperature at 28 °C for May 17 at the Otemachi station, driven by a persistent high-pressure ridge promoting southerly warm advection and strong afternoon solar heating under mostly clear skies. This stable synoptic pattern aligns with mid-May climatological norms while favoring the upper end of the daily range, producing high model consensus across short-range numerical weather prediction systems. Traders have accordingly concentrated near-100 % implied probability on the 28 °C outcome, reflecting the narrow uncertainty envelope typical of high-confidence, late-stage forecasts. The primary scenarios that could still alter resolution remain an unexpected late-model shift in cloud cover or a localized measurement deviation at the official station.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
बाहरी लिंक से सावधान रहें।
बाहरी लिंक से सावधान रहें।
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