Recent ensemble forecasts from the Japan Meteorological Agency point to a strengthening southerly flow advecting warmer, moister air into the Kanto region ahead of a weakening frontal boundary, elevating the risk of an afternoon maximum at or above 28°C in central Tokyo on May 18. This setup, with ample insolation and boundary-layer mixing under a building subtropical ridge, aligns with the market-implied 56.5 percent probability for 28°C or higher and 34.5 percent for exactly 27°C. Historical climatology places mid-May daily maxima near 23–25°C, so the current projection represents a 3–5°C positive anomaly driven by reduced cloud cover and downslope warming. Updated model runs through early May 17 show little spread among ECMWF, GFS, and JMA guidance, though any late-day sea-breeze onset could cap the peak near 27°C and shift probability mass accordingly.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया18 मई को टोक्यो में सबसे अधिक तापमान?
18 मई को टोक्यो में सबसे अधिक तापमान?
28°C or higher 57%
27°C 34%
26°C 8.1%
25°C 3.0%
नया
$43,286 वॉल्यूम
नया
$43,286 वॉल्यूम
18 मई, 2026
18°C or below
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
3%
26°C
8%
27°C
34%
28°C or higher
57%
28°C or higher 57%
27°C 34%
26°C 8.1%
25°C 3.0%
नया
$43,286 वॉल्यूम
नया
$43,286 वॉल्यूम
18 मई, 2026
18°C or below
$3,106 वॉल्यूम
<1%
19°C
$1,432 वॉल्यूम
<1%
20°C
$1,081 वॉल्यूम
<1%
21°C
$1,264 वॉल्यूम
<1%
22°C
$1,918 वॉल्यूम
<1%
23°C
$2,673 वॉल्यूम
<1%
24°C
$16,004 वॉल्यूम
<1%
25°C
$4,368 वॉल्यूम
3%
26°C
$4,449 वॉल्यूम
8%
27°C
$3,134 वॉल्यूम
34%
28°C or higher
$4,179 वॉल्यूम
57%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent ensemble forecasts from the Japan Meteorological Agency point to a strengthening southerly flow advecting warmer, moister air into the Kanto region ahead of a weakening frontal boundary, elevating the risk of an afternoon maximum at or above 28°C in central Tokyo on May 18. This setup, with ample insolation and boundary-layer mixing under a building subtropical ridge, aligns with the market-implied 56.5 percent probability for 28°C or higher and 34.5 percent for exactly 27°C. Historical climatology places mid-May daily maxima near 23–25°C, so the current projection represents a 3–5°C positive anomaly driven by reduced cloud cover and downslope warming. Updated model runs through early May 17 show little spread among ECMWF, GFS, and JMA guidance, though any late-day sea-breeze onset could cap the peak near 27°C and shift probability mass accordingly.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
बाज़ार खुला: May 16, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
वॉल्यूम
$43,286समाप्ति तिथि
18 मई, 2026बाज़ार खुला
May 16, 2026, 12:04 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent ensemble forecasts from the Japan Meteorological Agency point to a strengthening southerly flow advecting warmer, moister air into the Kanto region ahead of a weakening frontal boundary, elevating the risk of an afternoon maximum at or above 28°C in central Tokyo on May 18. This setup, with ample insolation and boundary-layer mixing under a building subtropical ridge, aligns with the market-implied 56.5 percent probability for 28°C or higher and 34.5 percent for exactly 27°C. Historical climatology places mid-May daily maxima near 23–25°C, so the current projection represents a 3–5°C positive anomaly driven by reduced cloud cover and downslope warming. Updated model runs through early May 17 show little spread among ECMWF, GFS, and JMA guidance, though any late-day sea-breeze onset could cap the peak near 27°C and shift probability mass accordingly.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
वॉल्यूम
$43,286समाप्ति तिथि
18 मई, 2026बाज़ार खुला
May 16, 2026, 12:04 AM ETRecent ensemble forecasts from the Japan Meteorological Agency point to a strengthening southerly flow advecting warmer, moister air into the Kanto region ahead of a weakening frontal boundary, elevating the risk of an afternoon maximum at or above 28°C in central Tokyo on May 18. This setup, with ample insolation and boundary-layer mixing under a building subtropical ridge, aligns with the market-implied 56.5 percent probability for 28°C or higher and 34.5 percent for exactly 27°C. Historical climatology places mid-May daily maxima near 23–25°C, so the current projection represents a 3–5°C positive anomaly driven by reduced cloud cover and downslope warming. Updated model runs through early May 17 show little spread among ECMWF, GFS, and JMA guidance, though any late-day sea-breeze onset could cap the peak near 27°C and shift probability mass accordingly.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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