Taiwan's impeachment process for the president requires a legislative proposal backed by at least one-quarter of members followed by a two-thirds supermajority vote in the Legislative Yuan before referral to the Constitutional Court. Opposition parties currently hold insufficient seats to clear this threshold after the 2024 elections, and no coordinated initiative has emerged in the current session. This procedural barrier and absence of triggering events underpin the 98.2 percent implied probability against removal by June 30. A sudden shift in legislative coalitions or a major crisis capable of unifying opponents could still alter the timeline, though such scenarios lack supporting developments within the resolution window.