Recent preliminary analyses from Copernicus and NOAA place the May 2026 global surface temperature anomaly near 1.10–1.14 °C above the 1850–1900 pre-industrial baseline, aligning with April’s observed 1.12 °C value and supporting the market’s leading outcome. This positioning reflects a post-La Niña transition that has moderated the extreme warmth seen in 2023–2024, while an emerging El Niño—now assigned an 82 % probability by NOAA for May–July—has yet to exert its full warming influence on monthly averages. Multi-model ensembles continue to project above-normal land and ocean temperatures through the season, but May-specific data releases expected in early June will determine whether the anomaly remains within the narrow central band or shifts higher as the coupled ocean-atmosphere response strengthens.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गयाMay 2026 Temperature Increase (ºC)
May 2026 Temperature Increase (ºC)
1.10–1.14ºC 60%
1.15–1.19ºC 17%
<1.10ºC 16%
1.20–1.24ºC 7%
$58,978 वॉल्यूम
$58,978 वॉल्यूम
10 जून, 2026
<1.10ºC
16%
1.10–1.14ºC
60%
1.15–1.19ºC
17%
1.20–1.24ºC
7%
1.25–1.29ºC
3%
>1.29ºC
1%
1.10–1.14ºC 60%
1.15–1.19ºC 17%
<1.10ºC 16%
1.20–1.24ºC 7%
$58,978 वॉल्यूम
$58,978 वॉल्यूम
10 जून, 2026
<1.10ºC
$24,002 वॉल्यूम
16%
1.10–1.14ºC
$5,389 वॉल्यूम
60%
1.15–1.19ºC
$8,833 वॉल्यूम
17%
1.20–1.24ºC
$6,460 वॉल्यूम
7%
1.25–1.29ºC
$6,539 वॉल्यूम
3%
>1.29ºC
$7,755 वॉल्यूम
1%
This market will resolve according to the value reported by the Global Land-Ocean Temperature Index for May 2026 when it is released.
An anomaly within a named bracket for May 2026 is necessary and sufficient to resolve this market immediately once the data becomes available, regardless of whether the figure for May 2026 is later revised.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the figure found in the table titled "GLOBAL Land-Ocean Temperature Index in 0.01 degrees Celsius" under the column "May" in the row "2026" (https://data.giss.nasa.gov/gistemp/tabledata_v4/GLB.Ts+dSST.txt).
If NASA’s “Global Temperature Index” is rendered permanently unavailable, other information from NASA may be used.
If no information for May 2026 is provided by NASA by July 1, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.Recent preliminary analyses from Copernicus and NOAA place the May 2026 global surface temperature anomaly near 1.10–1.14 °C above the 1850–1900 pre-industrial baseline, aligning with April’s observed 1.12 °C value and supporting the market’s leading outcome. This positioning reflects a post-La Niña transition that has moderated the extreme warmth seen in 2023–2024, while an emerging El Niño—now assigned an 82 % probability by NOAA for May–July—has yet to exert its full warming influence on monthly averages. Multi-model ensembles continue to project above-normal land and ocean temperatures through the season, but May-specific data releases expected in early June will determine whether the anomaly remains within the narrow central band or shifts higher as the coupled ocean-atmosphere response strengthens.
This market will resolve according to the value reported by the Global Land-Ocean Temperature Index for May 2026 when it is released.
An anomaly within a named bracket for May 2026 is necessary and sufficient to resolve this market immediately once the data becomes available, regardless of whether the figure for May 2026 is later revised.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the figure found in the table titled "GLOBAL Land-Ocean Temperature Index in 0.01 degrees Celsius" under the column "May" in the row "2026" (https://data.giss.nasa.gov/gistemp/tabledata_v4/GLB.Ts+dSST.txt).
If NASA’s “Global Temperature Index” is rendered permanently unavailable, other information from NASA may be used.
If no information for May 2026 is provided by NASA by July 1, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
An anomaly within a named bracket for May 2026 is necessary and sufficient to resolve this market immediately once the data becomes available, regardless of whether the figure for May 2026 is later revised.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the figure found in the table titled "GLOBAL Land-Ocean Temperature Index in 0.01 degrees Celsius" under the column "May" in the row "2026" (https://data.giss.nasa.gov/gistemp/tabledata_v4/GLB.Ts+dSST.txt).
If NASA’s “Global Temperature Index” is rendered permanently unavailable, other information from NASA may be used.
If no information for May 2026 is provided by NASA by July 1, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
बाज़ार खुला: Apr 27, 2026, 4:35 PM ET
वॉल्यूम
$58,978समाप्ति तिथि
10 जून, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Apr 27, 2026, 4:35 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the value reported by the Global Land-Ocean Temperature Index for May 2026 when it is released.
An anomaly within a named bracket for May 2026 is necessary and sufficient to resolve this market immediately once the data becomes available, regardless of whether the figure for May 2026 is later revised.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the figure found in the table titled "GLOBAL Land-Ocean Temperature Index in 0.01 degrees Celsius" under the column "May" in the row "2026" (https://data.giss.nasa.gov/gistemp/tabledata_v4/GLB.Ts+dSST.txt).
If NASA’s “Global Temperature Index” is rendered permanently unavailable, other information from NASA may be used.
If no information for May 2026 is provided by NASA by July 1, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.Recent preliminary analyses from Copernicus and NOAA place the May 2026 global surface temperature anomaly near 1.10–1.14 °C above the 1850–1900 pre-industrial baseline, aligning with April’s observed 1.12 °C value and supporting the market’s leading outcome. This positioning reflects a post-La Niña transition that has moderated the extreme warmth seen in 2023–2024, while an emerging El Niño—now assigned an 82 % probability by NOAA for May–July—has yet to exert its full warming influence on monthly averages. Multi-model ensembles continue to project above-normal land and ocean temperatures through the season, but May-specific data releases expected in early June will determine whether the anomaly remains within the narrow central band or shifts higher as the coupled ocean-atmosphere response strengthens.
This market will resolve according to the value reported by the Global Land-Ocean Temperature Index for May 2026 when it is released.
An anomaly within a named bracket for May 2026 is necessary and sufficient to resolve this market immediately once the data becomes available, regardless of whether the figure for May 2026 is later revised.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the figure found in the table titled "GLOBAL Land-Ocean Temperature Index in 0.01 degrees Celsius" under the column "May" in the row "2026" (https://data.giss.nasa.gov/gistemp/tabledata_v4/GLB.Ts+dSST.txt).
If NASA’s “Global Temperature Index” is rendered permanently unavailable, other information from NASA may be used.
If no information for May 2026 is provided by NASA by July 1, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
An anomaly within a named bracket for May 2026 is necessary and sufficient to resolve this market immediately once the data becomes available, regardless of whether the figure for May 2026 is later revised.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the figure found in the table titled "GLOBAL Land-Ocean Temperature Index in 0.01 degrees Celsius" under the column "May" in the row "2026" (https://data.giss.nasa.gov/gistemp/tabledata_v4/GLB.Ts+dSST.txt).
If NASA’s “Global Temperature Index” is rendered permanently unavailable, other information from NASA may be used.
If no information for May 2026 is provided by NASA by July 1, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
वॉल्यूम
$58,978समाप्ति तिथि
10 जून, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Apr 27, 2026, 4:35 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent preliminary analyses from Copernicus and NOAA place the May 2026 global surface temperature anomaly near 1.10–1.14 °C above the 1850–1900 pre-industrial baseline, aligning with April’s observed 1.12 °C value and supporting the market’s leading outcome. This positioning reflects a post-La Niña transition that has moderated the extreme warmth seen in 2023–2024, while an emerging El Niño—now assigned an 82 % probability by NOAA for May–July—has yet to exert its full warming influence on monthly averages. Multi-model ensembles continue to project above-normal land and ocean temperatures through the season, but May-specific data releases expected in early June will determine whether the anomaly remains within the narrow central band or shifts higher as the coupled ocean-atmosphere response strengthens.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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