The incumbent Republican holds a commanding position in New Jersey’s 2nd congressional district, which carries an R+5 partisan voter index and supported the Republican presidential candidate by double digits in the prior cycle. Jeff Van Drew’s substantial fundraising lead—more than $1.1 million cash on hand—contrasts with the fragmented Democratic primary field of four candidates, where the leading contender trails significantly in resources. Race ratings from Cook, Inside Elections, and Sabato’s Crystal Ball all classify the seat as solidly Republican, underscoring limited Democratic path-to-victory scenarios ahead of the June primaries and November general election. These structural and financial factors underpin the current trader consensus favoring the Republican outcome.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गयाNJ -02 हाउस इलेक्शन विनर
NJ -02 हाउस इलेक्शन विनर
$12,769 वॉल्यूम
$12,769 वॉल्यूम
3 नव, 2026
रिपब्लिकन पार्टी
70%
डेमोक्रेटिक पार्टी
26%
$12,769 वॉल्यूम
$12,769 वॉल्यूम
3 नव, 2026
रिपब्लिकन पार्टी
$6,253 वॉल्यूम
70%
डेमोक्रेटिक पार्टी
$6,515 वॉल्यूम
26%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NJ-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The incumbent Republican holds a commanding position in New Jersey’s 2nd congressional district, which carries an R+5 partisan voter index and supported the Republican presidential candidate by double digits in the prior cycle. Jeff Van Drew’s substantial fundraising lead—more than $1.1 million cash on hand—contrasts with the fragmented Democratic primary field of four candidates, where the leading contender trails significantly in resources. Race ratings from Cook, Inside Elections, and Sabato’s Crystal Ball all classify the seat as solidly Republican, underscoring limited Democratic path-to-victory scenarios ahead of the June primaries and November general election. These structural and financial factors underpin the current trader consensus favoring the Republican outcome.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NJ-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
बाज़ार खुला: Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ET
वॉल्यूम
$12,769समाप्ति तिथि
3 नव, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NJ-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The incumbent Republican holds a commanding position in New Jersey’s 2nd congressional district, which carries an R+5 partisan voter index and supported the Republican presidential candidate by double digits in the prior cycle. Jeff Van Drew’s substantial fundraising lead—more than $1.1 million cash on hand—contrasts with the fragmented Democratic primary field of four candidates, where the leading contender trails significantly in resources. Race ratings from Cook, Inside Elections, and Sabato’s Crystal Ball all classify the seat as solidly Republican, underscoring limited Democratic path-to-victory scenarios ahead of the June primaries and November general election. These structural and financial factors underpin the current trader consensus favoring the Republican outcome.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NJ-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
वॉल्यूम
$12,769समाप्ति तिथि
3 नव, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...The incumbent Republican holds a commanding position in New Jersey’s 2nd congressional district, which carries an R+5 partisan voter index and supported the Republican presidential candidate by double digits in the prior cycle. Jeff Van Drew’s substantial fundraising lead—more than $1.1 million cash on hand—contrasts with the fragmented Democratic primary field of four candidates, where the leading contender trails significantly in resources. Race ratings from Cook, Inside Elections, and Sabato’s Crystal Ball all classify the seat as solidly Republican, underscoring limited Democratic path-to-victory scenarios ahead of the June primaries and November general election. These structural and financial factors underpin the current trader consensus favoring the Republican outcome.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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