US-Iran negotiations, driven by the June 2026 Islamabad Memorandum between the Trump administration and Iranian officials, remain stalled amid disputes over Strait of Hormuz navigation, sanctions relief, and nuclear issues. Direct high-level engagement has given way to indirect messaging through intermediaries such as Oman, Pakistan, and Qatar, with recent technical discussions in Doha and Switzerland yielding limited progress. Trader focus centers on potential attendance by figures like President Trump, Vice President Vance, or Iranian counterparts including Parliament Speaker Ghalibaf or President Pezeshkian in any resumed round before year-end. Ongoing maritime tensions and enforcement of the interim ceasefire continue to shape conditions for renewed diplomacy.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया$165,767 वॉल्यूम

जेरेड कुशनर
60%

अब्बास अराग़ची
49%

मोहम्मद बाघेर ग़ालिबाफ
47%

स्टीव विटकॉफ
42%

मजीद तख्त-रावांजी
47%

जे.डी. वेंस
42%

मोहम्मद बिन अब्दुलरहमान अल सानी
30%

मसूद पज़ेश्कियन
27%

राफेल ग्रोसी
34%

मार्को रुबिओ
26%

निक स्टीवर्ट
23%

काजम घरीबाबादी
23%

इशाक डार
31%

बद्र बिन हमद अल बुसेदी
16%

डोनाल्ड ट्रंप
12%

इस्माइल क़आनी
8%

पीट हेगसेथ
6%

अहमद वहीदी
5%

मोज्तबा खामेनेई
5%
$165,767 वॉल्यूम

जेरेड कुशनर
60%

अब्बास अराग़ची
49%

मोहम्मद बाघेर ग़ालिबाफ
47%

स्टीव विटकॉफ
42%

मजीद तख्त-रावांजी
47%

जे.डी. वेंस
42%

मोहम्मद बिन अब्दुलरहमान अल सानी
30%

मसूद पज़ेश्कियन
27%

राफेल ग्रोसी
34%

मार्को रुबिओ
26%

निक स्टीवर्ट
23%

काजम घरीबाबादी
23%

इशाक डार
31%

बद्र बिन हमद अल बुसेदी
16%

डोनाल्ड ट्रंप
12%

इस्माइल क़आनी
8%

पीट हेगसेथ
6%

अहमद वहीदी
5%

मोज्तबा खामेनेई
5%
A qualifying round must be a deliberate in-person diplomatic meeting or negotiating round concerning US-Iran relations, involving senior representatives of both the United States and Iran who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to conduct or materially direct diplomacy on behalf of their governments.
Indirect in-person diplomacy through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors will qualify, provided senior representatives of both the United States and Iran are participating in the same formal diplomatic process with the knowledge and authorization of their respective governments. The representatives need not be in the same room at the same time.
Follow-on technical talks from the June 22 Switzerland round will not qualify by themselves. Technical, staff-level, working-group, implementation, monitoring, preparatory, or deconfliction meetings will not qualify unless they occur as part of a new formally convened senior-level U.S.-Iran peace-talks round.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, photo opportunities, ceremonial appearances, or talks not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person (including indirect in-person meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
Attendance refers to the listed individual being physically present and actively participating.
If a formal senior-level round of peace talks between representatives of the United States and Iran takes place over multiple days, attendance at any part of the meeting will qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the listed individual and the governments of the United States and Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
बाज़ार खुला: Aug 12, 2026, 7:15 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...A qualifying round must be a deliberate in-person diplomatic meeting or negotiating round concerning US-Iran relations, involving senior representatives of both the United States and Iran who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to conduct or materially direct diplomacy on behalf of their governments.
Indirect in-person diplomacy through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors will qualify, provided senior representatives of both the United States and Iran are participating in the same formal diplomatic process with the knowledge and authorization of their respective governments. The representatives need not be in the same room at the same time.
Follow-on technical talks from the June 22 Switzerland round will not qualify by themselves. Technical, staff-level, working-group, implementation, monitoring, preparatory, or deconfliction meetings will not qualify unless they occur as part of a new formally convened senior-level U.S.-Iran peace-talks round.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, photo opportunities, ceremonial appearances, or talks not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person (including indirect in-person meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
Attendance refers to the listed individual being physically present and actively participating.
If a formal senior-level round of peace talks between representatives of the United States and Iran takes place over multiple days, attendance at any part of the meeting will qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the listed individual and the governments of the United States and Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...US-Iran negotiations, driven by the June 2026 Islamabad Memorandum between the Trump administration and Iranian officials, remain stalled amid disputes over Strait of Hormuz navigation, sanctions relief, and nuclear issues. Direct high-level engagement has given way to indirect messaging through intermediaries such as Oman, Pakistan, and Qatar, with recent technical discussions in Doha and Switzerland yielding limited progress. Trader focus centers on potential attendance by figures like President Trump, Vice President Vance, or Iranian counterparts including Parliament Speaker Ghalibaf or President Pezeshkian in any resumed round before year-end. Ongoing maritime tensions and enforcement of the interim ceasefire continue to shape conditions for renewed diplomacy.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया

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