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icon for 31 दिसंबर तक अमेरिका - ईरान शांति वार्ता के एक दौर में कौन शामिल होगा?

31 दिसंबर तक अमेरिका - ईरान शांति वार्ता के एक दौर में कौन शामिल होगा?

icon for 31 दिसंबर तक अमेरिका - ईरान शांति वार्ता के एक दौर में कौन शामिल होगा?

31 दिसंबर तक अमेरिका - ईरान शांति वार्ता के एक दौर में कौन शामिल होगा?

$165,767 वॉल्यूम

31 दिस, 2026
Polymarket

$165,767 वॉल्यूम

Polymarket
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जेरेड कुशनर

$8,084 वॉल्यूम

60%

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अब्बास अराग़ची

$6,712 वॉल्यूम

49%

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मोहम्मद बाघेर ग़ालिबाफ

$11,231 वॉल्यूम

47%

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स्टीव विटकॉफ

$7,891 वॉल्यूम

42%

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मजीद तख्त-रावांजी

$10,113 वॉल्यूम

47%

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जे.डी. वेंस

$11,899 वॉल्यूम

42%

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मोहम्मद बिन अब्दुलरहमान अल सानी

$11,007 वॉल्यूम

30%

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मसूद पज़ेश्कियन

$9,534 वॉल्यूम

27%

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राफेल ग्रोसी

$8,904 वॉल्यूम

34%

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मार्को रुबिओ

$10,777 वॉल्यूम

26%

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निक स्टीवर्ट

$2,508 वॉल्यूम

23%

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काजम घरीबाबादी

$14,348 वॉल्यूम

23%

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इशाक डार

$7,098 वॉल्यूम

31%

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बद्र बिन हमद अल बुसेदी

$11,800 वॉल्यूम

16%

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डोनाल्ड ट्रंप

$112 वॉल्यूम

12%

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इस्माइल क़आनी

$9,883 वॉल्यूम

8%

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पीट हेगसेथ

$2,478 वॉल्यूम

6%

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अहमद वहीदी

$2,198 वॉल्यूम

5%

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मोज्तबा खामेनेई

$19,189 वॉल्यूम

5%

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual attends any formal senior-level round of peace talks between representatives of the United States and Iran between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. A qualifying round must be a deliberate in-person diplomatic meeting or negotiating round concerning US-Iran relations, involving senior representatives of both the United States and Iran who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to conduct or materially direct diplomacy on behalf of their governments. Indirect in-person diplomacy through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors will qualify, provided senior representatives of both the United States and Iran are participating in the same formal diplomatic process with the knowledge and authorization of their respective governments. The representatives need not be in the same room at the same time. Follow-on technical talks from the June 22 Switzerland round will not qualify by themselves. Technical, staff-level, working-group, implementation, monitoring, preparatory, or deconfliction meetings will not qualify unless they occur as part of a new formally convened senior-level U.S.-Iran peace-talks round. Brief greetings, chance encounters, photo opportunities, ceremonial appearances, or talks not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count. The meeting must be in-person (including indirect in-person meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count. Attendance refers to the listed individual being physically present and actively participating. If a formal senior-level round of peace talks between representatives of the United States and Iran takes place over multiple days, attendance at any part of the meeting will qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the listed individual and the governments of the United States and Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.US-Iran negotiations, driven by the June 2026 Islamabad Memorandum between the Trump administration and Iranian officials, remain stalled amid disputes over Strait of Hormuz navigation, sanctions relief, and nuclear issues. Direct high-level engagement has given way to indirect messaging through intermediaries such as Oman, Pakistan, and Qatar, with recent technical discussions in Doha and Switzerland yielding limited progress. Trader focus centers on potential attendance by figures like President Trump, Vice President Vance, or Iranian counterparts including Parliament Speaker Ghalibaf or President Pezeshkian in any resumed round before year-end. Ongoing maritime tensions and enforcement of the interim ceasefire continue to shape conditions for renewed diplomacy.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual attends any formal senior-level round of peace talks between representatives of the United States and Iran between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

A qualifying round must be a deliberate in-person diplomatic meeting or negotiating round concerning US-Iran relations, involving senior representatives of both the United States and Iran who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to conduct or materially direct diplomacy on behalf of their governments.

Indirect in-person diplomacy through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors will qualify, provided senior representatives of both the United States and Iran are participating in the same formal diplomatic process with the knowledge and authorization of their respective governments. The representatives need not be in the same room at the same time.

Follow-on technical talks from the June 22 Switzerland round will not qualify by themselves. Technical, staff-level, working-group, implementation, monitoring, preparatory, or deconfliction meetings will not qualify unless they occur as part of a new formally convened senior-level U.S.-Iran peace-talks round.

Brief greetings, chance encounters, photo opportunities, ceremonial appearances, or talks not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.

The meeting must be in-person (including indirect in-person meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.

Attendance refers to the listed individual being physically present and actively participating.

If a formal senior-level round of peace talks between representatives of the United States and Iran takes place over multiple days, attendance at any part of the meeting will qualify.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the listed individual and the governments of the United States and Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
वॉल्यूम
$165,767
समाप्ति तिथि
31 दिस, 2026
बाज़ार खुला
Aug 12, 2026, 7:15 PM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual attends any formal senior-level round of peace talks between representatives of the United States and Iran between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. A qualifying round must be a deliberate in-person diplomatic meeting or negotiating round concerning US-Iran relations, involving senior representatives of both the United States and Iran who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to conduct or materially direct diplomacy on behalf of their governments. Indirect in-person diplomacy through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors will qualify, provided senior representatives of both the United States and Iran are participating in the same formal diplomatic process with the knowledge and authorization of their respective governments. The representatives need not be in the same room at the same time. Follow-on technical talks from the June 22 Switzerland round will not qualify by themselves. Technical, staff-level, working-group, implementation, monitoring, preparatory, or deconfliction meetings will not qualify unless they occur as part of a new formally convened senior-level U.S.-Iran peace-talks round. Brief greetings, chance encounters, photo opportunities, ceremonial appearances, or talks not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count. The meeting must be in-person (including indirect in-person meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count. Attendance refers to the listed individual being physically present and actively participating. If a formal senior-level round of peace talks between representatives of the United States and Iran takes place over multiple days, attendance at any part of the meeting will qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the listed individual and the governments of the United States and Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual attends any formal senior-level round of peace talks between representatives of the United States and Iran between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. A qualifying round must be a deliberate in-person diplomatic meeting or negotiating round concerning US-Iran relations, involving senior representatives of both the United States and Iran who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to conduct or materially direct diplomacy on behalf of their governments. Indirect in-person diplomacy through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors will qualify, provided senior representatives of both the United States and Iran are participating in the same formal diplomatic process with the knowledge and authorization of their respective governments. The representatives need not be in the same room at the same time. Follow-on technical talks from the June 22 Switzerland round will not qualify by themselves. Technical, staff-level, working-group, implementation, monitoring, preparatory, or deconfliction meetings will not qualify unless they occur as part of a new formally convened senior-level U.S.-Iran peace-talks round. Brief greetings, chance encounters, photo opportunities, ceremonial appearances, or talks not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count. The meeting must be in-person (including indirect in-person meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count. Attendance refers to the listed individual being physically present and actively participating. If a formal senior-level round of peace talks between representatives of the United States and Iran takes place over multiple days, attendance at any part of the meeting will qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the listed individual and the governments of the United States and Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.US-Iran negotiations, driven by the June 2026 Islamabad Memorandum between the Trump administration and Iranian officials, remain stalled amid disputes over Strait of Hormuz navigation, sanctions relief, and nuclear issues. Direct high-level engagement has given way to indirect messaging through intermediaries such as Oman, Pakistan, and Qatar, with recent technical discussions in Doha and Switzerland yielding limited progress. Trader focus centers on potential attendance by figures like President Trump, Vice President Vance, or Iranian counterparts including Parliament Speaker Ghalibaf or President Pezeshkian in any resumed round before year-end. Ongoing maritime tensions and enforcement of the interim ceasefire continue to shape conditions for renewed diplomacy.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual attends any formal senior-level round of peace talks between representatives of the United States and Iran between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

A qualifying round must be a deliberate in-person diplomatic meeting or negotiating round concerning US-Iran relations, involving senior representatives of both the United States and Iran who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to conduct or materially direct diplomacy on behalf of their governments.

Indirect in-person diplomacy through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors will qualify, provided senior representatives of both the United States and Iran are participating in the same formal diplomatic process with the knowledge and authorization of their respective governments. The representatives need not be in the same room at the same time.

Follow-on technical talks from the June 22 Switzerland round will not qualify by themselves. Technical, staff-level, working-group, implementation, monitoring, preparatory, or deconfliction meetings will not qualify unless they occur as part of a new formally convened senior-level U.S.-Iran peace-talks round.

Brief greetings, chance encounters, photo opportunities, ceremonial appearances, or talks not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.

The meeting must be in-person (including indirect in-person meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.

Attendance refers to the listed individual being physically present and actively participating.

If a formal senior-level round of peace talks between representatives of the United States and Iran takes place over multiple days, attendance at any part of the meeting will qualify.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the listed individual and the governments of the United States and Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
वॉल्यूम
$165,767
समाप्ति तिथि
31 दिस, 2026
बाज़ार खुला
Aug 12, 2026, 7:15 PM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual attends any formal senior-level round of peace talks between representatives of the United States and Iran between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. A qualifying round must be a deliberate in-person diplomatic meeting or negotiating round concerning US-Iran relations, involving senior representatives of both the United States and Iran who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to conduct or materially direct diplomacy on behalf of their governments. Indirect in-person diplomacy through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors will qualify, provided senior representatives of both the United States and Iran are participating in the same formal diplomatic process with the knowledge and authorization of their respective governments. The representatives need not be in the same room at the same time. Follow-on technical talks from the June 22 Switzerland round will not qualify by themselves. Technical, staff-level, working-group, implementation, monitoring, preparatory, or deconfliction meetings will not qualify unless they occur as part of a new formally convened senior-level U.S.-Iran peace-talks round. Brief greetings, chance encounters, photo opportunities, ceremonial appearances, or talks not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count. The meeting must be in-person (including indirect in-person meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count. Attendance refers to the listed individual being physically present and actively participating. If a formal senior-level round of peace talks between representatives of the United States and Iran takes place over multiple days, attendance at any part of the meeting will qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the listed individual and the governments of the United States and Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

बाहरी लिंक से सावधान रहें।

अक्सर पूछे जाने वाले प्रश्न

"31 दिसंबर तक अमेरिका - ईरान शांति वार्ता के एक दौर में कौन शामिल होगा?" Polymarket पर 19 संभावित परिणामों वाला एक प्रेडिक्शन मार्केट है। वर्तमान में, जेरेड कुशनर 60% (60¢¢ प्रति शेयर) की implied probability के साथ आगे है, उसके बाद अब्बास अराग़ची 49% पर है।

आज तक, "31 दिसंबर तक अमेरिका - ईरान शांति वार्ता के एक दौर में कौन शामिल होगा?" ने कुल $165.8K ट्रेडिंग वॉल्यूम उत्पन्न किया है जब से बाज़ार Aug 12, 2026 को लॉन्च हुआ। ट्रेडिंग गतिविधि का यह स्तर Polymarket समुदाय से मज़बूत जुड़ाव दर्शाता है और यह सुनिश्चित करने में मदद करता है कि वर्तमान संभावनाएँ बाज़ार प्रतिभागियों के गहरे पूल से सूचित हैं। आप इस पेज पर सीधे लाइव मूल्य गतिविधियाँ ट्रैक कर सकते हैं और किसी भी परिणाम पर ट्रेड कर सकते हैं।

"31 दिसंबर तक अमेरिका - ईरान शांति वार्ता के एक दौर में कौन शामिल होगा?" पर ट्रेड करने के लिए, इस पेज पर सूचीबद्ध 19 उपलब्ध परिणाम ब्राउज़ करें। प्रत्येक परिणाम बाज़ार की निहित संभावना को दर्शाने वाली वर्तमान कीमत प्रदर्शित करता है। पोजीशन लेने के लिए, वह परिणाम चुनें जो आपको सबसे संभावित लगता है, उसके पक्ष में ट्रेड करने के लिए "हाँ" या विरुद्ध ट्रेड करने के लिए "नहीं" चुनें, अपनी राशि दर्ज करें, और "ट्रेड" पर क्लिक करें।

"31 दिसंबर तक अमेरिका - ईरान शांति वार्ता के एक दौर में कौन शामिल होगा?" के लिए वर्तमान प्रबल दावेदार "जेरेड कुशनर" 60% पर है। निकटतम परिणाम "अब्बास अराग़ची" 49% पर है। ये संभावनाएँ रियल-टाइम में अपडेट होती हैं जैसे-जैसे ट्रेडर शेयर खरीदते और बेचते हैं।

"31 दिसंबर तक अमेरिका - ईरान शांति वार्ता के एक दौर में कौन शामिल होगा?" के समाधान नियम ठीक-ठीक परिभाषित करते हैं कि प्रत्येक परिणाम को विजेता घोषित करने के लिए क्या होना चाहिए — जिसमें परिणाम निर्धारित करने के लिए उपयोग किए गए आधिकारिक डेटा स्रोत शामिल हैं। आप इस पेज पर टिप्पणियों के ऊपर "नियम" अनुभाग में पूर्ण समाधान मानदंड की समीक्षा कर सकते हैं।