Recent diplomatic momentum from the Trump administration has focused on expanding the Abraham Accords framework to additional Muslim-majority states, including Central Asian nations like Kazakhstan, which formalized accession in early 2026, and symbolic pledges from Somaliland. However, progress toward new sovereign Arab or major regional partners remains limited by Saudi Arabia’s longstanding condition that normalization requires concrete advances on a Palestinian state, alongside stalled talks with Syria and Lebanon amid ongoing security concerns and Hezbollah-related dynamics. These structural hurdles, combined with the absence of breakthrough announcements in recent months, underpin trader consensus favoring no additional formal joiner by the end of 2026.