Forecast models from sources like AccuWeather and the UK Met Office indicate Ankara will reach a daily high near 32°C on August 5 under sunny skies, light northeasterly winds, and minimal humidity, aligning with the market's strong 66% implied probability for that outcome. Typical late-summer conditions feature average highs of 30–32°C with low precipitation risk, and recent runs show no significant deviations from climatological baselines or incoming frontal systems that could push readings to 33°C or above. Traders appear to weigh these stable atmospheric patterns and model consensus heavily, as the day's resolution hinges on official maximum observations before evening cooling sets in.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiHighest temperature in Ankara on August 5?
32°C 67%
31°C 19%
33°C 16%
34°C 1.0%
$19,501 Vol.
$19,501 Vol.
28°C or below
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
1%
31°C
19%
32°C
67%
33°C
16%
34°C
1%
35°C
<1%
36°C
<1%
37°C
<1%
38°C or higher
<1%
32°C 67%
31°C 19%
33°C 16%
34°C 1.0%
$19,501 Vol.
$19,501 Vol.
28°C or below
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
1%
31°C
19%
32°C
67%
33°C
16%
34°C
1%
35°C
<1%
36°C
<1%
37°C
<1%
38°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Aug 3, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Forecast models from sources like AccuWeather and the UK Met Office indicate Ankara will reach a daily high near 32°C on August 5 under sunny skies, light northeasterly winds, and minimal humidity, aligning with the market's strong 66% implied probability for that outcome. Typical late-summer conditions feature average highs of 30–32°C with low precipitation risk, and recent runs show no significant deviations from climatological baselines or incoming frontal systems that could push readings to 33°C or above. Traders appear to weigh these stable atmospheric patterns and model consensus heavily, as the day's resolution hinges on official maximum observations before evening cooling sets in.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui

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