Recent forecast guidance from regional meteorological models points to a maximum temperature of 18 °C in Ankara on May 17, driving the market’s near-certain consensus at that level. Official analyses show stable high-pressure conditions limiting daytime warming, with afternoon readings expected to peak near this value after morning lows in the single digits. Historical May climatology for the region averages highs around 21 °C, yet current steering patterns and limited moisture have kept the thermal profile suppressed. Minor upward revisions in ensemble runs could still allow 19 °C if insolation increases faster than anticipated, though the probability remains low given the consistency across observational data and short-range projections.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiHighest temperature in Ankara on May 17?
18°C 98.8%
19°C 1.1%
20°C <1%
22°C <1%
$49,743 Vol.
$49,743 Vol.
13°C or below
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
99%
19°C
1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C or higher
<1%
18°C 98.8%
19°C 1.1%
20°C <1%
22°C <1%
$49,743 Vol.
$49,743 Vol.
13°C or below
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
99%
19°C
1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Pasar Dibuka: May 15, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Recent forecast guidance from regional meteorological models points to a maximum temperature of 18 °C in Ankara on May 17, driving the market’s near-certain consensus at that level. Official analyses show stable high-pressure conditions limiting daytime warming, with afternoon readings expected to peak near this value after morning lows in the single digits. Historical May climatology for the region averages highs around 21 °C, yet current steering patterns and limited moisture have kept the thermal profile suppressed. Minor upward revisions in ensemble runs could still allow 19 °C if insolation increases faster than anticipated, though the probability remains low given the consistency across observational data and short-range projections.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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