The market's overwhelming consensus on a 30°C high in Busan today stems from Korea Meteorological Administration forecast models and global ensembles projecting a precise daytime maximum under southerly flow advecting warmer air masses across the Korean Peninsula. Current observational data from coastal stations show temperatures tracking steadily toward this threshold amid stable high-pressure conditions and typical mid-May sea-breeze moderation that prevents excessive warming. This positioning aligns with historical climatology for the region, where peaks often settle near 29–31°C before coastal influences cap further rises. Minor deviations in cloud cover timing or breeze strength remain the primary variables that could realistically shift the observed high, though model agreement currently leaves scant probability for outcomes outside this narrow band.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiHighest temperature in Busan on May 17?
30°C 100.0%
23°C or below <1%
24°C <1%
25°C <1%
$49,413 Vol.
$49,413 Vol.
23°C or below
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
100%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C or higher
<1%
30°C 100.0%
23°C or below <1%
24°C <1%
25°C <1%
$49,413 Vol.
$49,413 Vol.
23°C or below
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
100%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Gimhae Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Pasar Dibuka: May 15, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
Sumber Resolusi
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPKThe resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Gimhae Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Sumber Resolusi
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPKThe market's overwhelming consensus on a 30°C high in Busan today stems from Korea Meteorological Administration forecast models and global ensembles projecting a precise daytime maximum under southerly flow advecting warmer air masses across the Korean Peninsula. Current observational data from coastal stations show temperatures tracking steadily toward this threshold amid stable high-pressure conditions and typical mid-May sea-breeze moderation that prevents excessive warming. This positioning aligns with historical climatology for the region, where peaks often settle near 29–31°C before coastal influences cap further rises. Minor deviations in cloud cover timing or breeze strength remain the primary variables that could realistically shift the observed high, though model agreement currently leaves scant probability for outcomes outside this narrow band.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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