Latest Korea Meteorological Administration short-term forecasts project Busan's May 17 high at 29°C, with clear morning skies giving way to mostly cloudy afternoon conditions and 10% precipitation chance, closely mirroring the market's tight race between 29°C (27.5% implied probability) and 30°C (28.0%). A persistent high-pressure ridge over the Korean Peninsula has fueled recent diurnal warming, delivering 30°C peaks on May 15-16 amid subsidence and abundant solar insolation, but Busan's coastal sea breeze and potential cumulus development may cap intensity. Model consensus acknowledges uncertainty in peak timing around 2-4 PM local, with historical mid-May averages near 23°C underscoring the current warm anomaly; traders await KMA's next update for refinement.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiHighest temperature in Busan on May 17?
Highest temperature in Busan on May 17?
30°C 34%
29°C 27%
31°C 15.4%
28°C 5.6%
23°C or below
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
1%
27°C
1%
28°C
6%
29°C
27%
30°C
28%
31°C
15%
32°C
5%
33°C or higher
1%
30°C 34%
29°C 27%
31°C 15.4%
28°C 5.6%
23°C or below
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
1%
27°C
1%
28°C
6%
29°C
27%
30°C
28%
31°C
15%
32°C
5%
33°C or higher
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Gimhae Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Pasar Dibuka: May 15, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
Sumber Resolusi
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPKThe resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Gimhae Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Sumber Resolusi
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPKLatest Korea Meteorological Administration short-term forecasts project Busan's May 17 high at 29°C, with clear morning skies giving way to mostly cloudy afternoon conditions and 10% precipitation chance, closely mirroring the market's tight race between 29°C (27.5% implied probability) and 30°C (28.0%). A persistent high-pressure ridge over the Korean Peninsula has fueled recent diurnal warming, delivering 30°C peaks on May 15-16 amid subsidence and abundant solar insolation, but Busan's coastal sea breeze and potential cumulus development may cap intensity. Model consensus acknowledges uncertainty in peak timing around 2-4 PM local, with historical mid-May averages near 23°C underscoring the current warm anomaly; traders await KMA's next update for refinement.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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