Recent forecast runs from the Korea Meteorological Administration and global ensembles show southerly flow advecting warmer air across the Korean Peninsula, positioning Busan’s daytime maximum near 30 °C. Coastal sea-breeze circulation typically moderates afternoon highs in this region, yet current model consensus and observed temperature trends through mid-May indicate the marine layer will remain too weak to suppress the peak below that threshold. With the market assigning essentially full probability to 30 °C, traders are reflecting the narrow range of outcomes supported by official guidance; only a sharper-than-expected onshore wind shift or delayed diurnal heating could realistically steer the official high recorded by KMA stations into an adjacent bin before resolution.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiHighest temperature in Busan on May 17?
Highest temperature in Busan on May 17?
30°C 100.0%
23°C or below <1%
24°C <1%
25°C <1%
$49,460 Vol.
$49,460 Vol.
May 17, 2026
23°C or below
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
100%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C or higher
<1%
30°C 100.0%
23°C or below <1%
24°C <1%
25°C <1%
$49,460 Vol.
$49,460 Vol.
May 17, 2026
23°C or below
$2,533 Vol.
<1%
24°C
$936 Vol.
<1%
25°C
$944 Vol.
<1%
26°C
$1,473 Vol.
<1%
27°C
$2,007 Vol.
<1%
28°C
$4,819 Vol.
<1%
29°C
$4,599 Vol.
<1%
30°C
$8,799 Vol.
100%
31°C
$3,779 Vol.
<1%
32°C
$4,701 Vol.
<1%
33°C or higher
$14,871 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Gimhae Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Gimhae Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent forecast runs from the Korea Meteorological Administration and global ensembles show southerly flow advecting warmer air across the Korean Peninsula, positioning Busan’s daytime maximum near 30 °C. Coastal sea-breeze circulation typically moderates afternoon highs in this region, yet current model consensus and observed temperature trends through mid-May indicate the marine layer will remain too weak to suppress the peak below that threshold. With the market assigning essentially full probability to 30 °C, traders are reflecting the narrow range of outcomes supported by official guidance; only a sharper-than-expected onshore wind shift or delayed diurnal heating could realistically steer the official high recorded by KMA stations into an adjacent bin before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Gimhae Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Gimhae Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Gimhae Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Pasar Dibuka: May 15, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
Volume
$49,460Tanggal Berakhir
May 17, 2026Pasar Dibuka
May 15, 2026, 12:05 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPKThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Gimhae Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Gimhae Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent forecast runs from the Korea Meteorological Administration and global ensembles show southerly flow advecting warmer air across the Korean Peninsula, positioning Busan’s daytime maximum near 30 °C. Coastal sea-breeze circulation typically moderates afternoon highs in this region, yet current model consensus and observed temperature trends through mid-May indicate the marine layer will remain too weak to suppress the peak below that threshold. With the market assigning essentially full probability to 30 °C, traders are reflecting the narrow range of outcomes supported by official guidance; only a sharper-than-expected onshore wind shift or delayed diurnal heating could realistically steer the official high recorded by KMA stations into an adjacent bin before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Gimhae Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Gimhae Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Gimhae Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$49,460Tanggal Berakhir
May 17, 2026Pasar Dibuka
May 15, 2026, 12:05 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPKRecent forecast runs from the Korea Meteorological Administration and global ensembles show southerly flow advecting warmer air across the Korean Peninsula, positioning Busan’s daytime maximum near 30 °C. Coastal sea-breeze circulation typically moderates afternoon highs in this region, yet current model consensus and observed temperature trends through mid-May indicate the marine layer will remain too weak to suppress the peak below that threshold. With the market assigning essentially full probability to 30 °C, traders are reflecting the narrow range of outcomes supported by official guidance; only a sharper-than-expected onshore wind shift or delayed diurnal heating could realistically steer the official high recorded by KMA stations into an adjacent bin before resolution.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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