Trader consensus has firmly settled on 31°C as the highest temperature expected in Chengdu on May 17, reflecting the latest consensus from numerical weather prediction models that incorporate current atmospheric conditions over the Sichuan Basin. A stable high-pressure ridge and southerly flow are transporting warmer air into the region, pushing daytime maxima above the seasonal May average of 26–28°C. Official guidance from the China Meteorological Administration shows limited spread across ensemble runs, with peak readings anticipated during the afternoon hours under mostly clear skies. Minor variations in cloud cover or localized precipitation could trim the maximum by a degree or two, yet the narrow forecast window and consistent observational data make any significant downward revision unlikely before resolution.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiHighest temperature in Chengdu on May 17?
31°C 100.0%
23°C or below <1%
24°C <1%
25°C <1%
$66,051 Vol.
$66,051 Vol.
23°C or below
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
100%
32°C
<1%
33°C or higher
<1%
31°C 100.0%
23°C or below <1%
24°C <1%
25°C <1%
$66,051 Vol.
$66,051 Vol.
23°C or below
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
100%
32°C
<1%
33°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Pasar Dibuka: May 15, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
Sumber Resolusi
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUUThe resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Sumber Resolusi
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUUTrader consensus has firmly settled on 31°C as the highest temperature expected in Chengdu on May 17, reflecting the latest consensus from numerical weather prediction models that incorporate current atmospheric conditions over the Sichuan Basin. A stable high-pressure ridge and southerly flow are transporting warmer air into the region, pushing daytime maxima above the seasonal May average of 26–28°C. Official guidance from the China Meteorological Administration shows limited spread across ensemble runs, with peak readings anticipated during the afternoon hours under mostly clear skies. Minor variations in cloud cover or localized precipitation could trim the maximum by a degree or two, yet the narrow forecast window and consistent observational data make any significant downward revision unlikely before resolution.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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