Persistent cloud cover, light rain, and elevated humidity across Chongqing on June 12, 2026, have suppressed solar heating and kept maximum temperatures near 22°C at the official Jiangbei station, driving the market's 100% implied probability for that outcome. Recent forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration and global models highlight enhanced moisture and reduced insolation tied to regional circulation patterns, well below typical early-June climatology of 28–30°C. Traders interpret these verified conditions and station measurement protocols as locking in the result, though a rapid afternoon clearing or model revision showing brief sunshine could still allow a late spike above the threshold before the daily high is recorded.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiHighest temperature in Chongqing on June 12?
22°C 100.0%
20°C or below <1%
21°C <1%
23°C <1%
$57,370 Vol.
$57,370 Vol.
20°C or below
No
21°C
No
22°C
Yes
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C or higher
No
22°C 100.0%
20°C or below <1%
21°C <1%
23°C <1%
$57,370 Vol.
$57,370 Vol.
20°C or below
No
21°C
No
22°C
Yes
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C or higher
No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Jun 10, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
Sumber Resolusi
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCKResolver
0x69c47De9D...Hasil diajukan: No
Tidak ada sengketa
Hasil akhir: No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Sumber Resolusi
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCKResolver
0x69c47De9D...Hasil diajukan: No
Tidak ada sengketa
Hasil akhir: No
Persistent cloud cover, light rain, and elevated humidity across Chongqing on June 12, 2026, have suppressed solar heating and kept maximum temperatures near 22°C at the official Jiangbei station, driving the market's 100% implied probability for that outcome. Recent forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration and global models highlight enhanced moisture and reduced insolation tied to regional circulation patterns, well below typical early-June climatology of 28–30°C. Traders interpret these verified conditions and station measurement protocols as locking in the result, though a rapid afternoon clearing or model revision showing brief sunshine could still allow a late spike above the threshold before the daily high is recorded.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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