Recent forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration point to persistent low-level cloud cover and light drizzle over Chongqing on May 17, sharply limiting daytime solar heating and anchoring the official maximum near 23 °C at the Jiangbei International Airport station. This stable atmospheric setup, typical of the region’s subtropical spring pattern with high humidity and orographic influence from surrounding mountains, has driven the market-implied probability for a 23 °C peak above 99 percent. Traders appear confident because official observations through the day have remained within a narrow range, with only modest variability expected before the measurement window closes. A late-day clearing that allows stronger insolation or an unanticipated shift in the steering flow could push readings slightly higher, though current model consensus shows little support for such a change.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiHighest temperature in Chongqing on May 17?
Highest temperature in Chongqing on May 17?
23°C 99.6%
26°C <1%
24°C <1%
18°C or below <1%
$46,426 Vol.
$46,426 Vol.
May 17, 2026
18°C or below
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
100%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C or higher
<1%
23°C 99.6%
26°C <1%
24°C <1%
18°C or below <1%
$46,426 Vol.
$46,426 Vol.
May 17, 2026
18°C or below
$2,479 Vol.
<1%
19°C
$1,659 Vol.
<1%
20°C
$2,059 Vol.
<1%
21°C
$3,184 Vol.
<1%
22°C
$4,197 Vol.
<1%
23°C
$9,222 Vol.
100%
24°C
$5,505 Vol.
<1%
25°C
$4,309 Vol.
<1%
26°C
$3,649 Vol.
<1%
27°C
$3,953 Vol.
<1%
28°C or higher
$6,210 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration point to persistent low-level cloud cover and light drizzle over Chongqing on May 17, sharply limiting daytime solar heating and anchoring the official maximum near 23 °C at the Jiangbei International Airport station. This stable atmospheric setup, typical of the region’s subtropical spring pattern with high humidity and orographic influence from surrounding mountains, has driven the market-implied probability for a 23 °C peak above 99 percent. Traders appear confident because official observations through the day have remained within a narrow range, with only modest variability expected before the measurement window closes. A late-day clearing that allows stronger insolation or an unanticipated shift in the steering flow could push readings slightly higher, though current model consensus shows little support for such a change.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Pasar Dibuka: May 15, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
Volume
$46,426Tanggal Berakhir
May 17, 2026Pasar Dibuka
May 15, 2026, 12:05 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCKThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration point to persistent low-level cloud cover and light drizzle over Chongqing on May 17, sharply limiting daytime solar heating and anchoring the official maximum near 23 °C at the Jiangbei International Airport station. This stable atmospheric setup, typical of the region’s subtropical spring pattern with high humidity and orographic influence from surrounding mountains, has driven the market-implied probability for a 23 °C peak above 99 percent. Traders appear confident because official observations through the day have remained within a narrow range, with only modest variability expected before the measurement window closes. A late-day clearing that allows stronger insolation or an unanticipated shift in the steering flow could push readings slightly higher, though current model consensus shows little support for such a change.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$46,426Tanggal Berakhir
May 17, 2026Pasar Dibuka
May 15, 2026, 12:05 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCKRecent forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration point to persistent low-level cloud cover and light drizzle over Chongqing on May 17, sharply limiting daytime solar heating and anchoring the official maximum near 23 °C at the Jiangbei International Airport station. This stable atmospheric setup, typical of the region’s subtropical spring pattern with high humidity and orographic influence from surrounding mountains, has driven the market-implied probability for a 23 °C peak above 99 percent. Traders appear confident because official observations through the day have remained within a narrow range, with only modest variability expected before the measurement window closes. A late-day clearing that allows stronger insolation or an unanticipated shift in the steering flow could push readings slightly higher, though current model consensus shows little support for such a change.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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