National Weather Service forecasts for Dallas point to a high near 89°F on May 18 under partly cloudy skies with light southerly flow and a slight chance of afternoon showers, keeping maximum temperatures in the upper 80s rather than pushing into the low 90s. Model consensus from recent runs shows modest differences in cloud timing and boundary-layer moisture that could shift the peak by 1–2°F, which explains why trader-implied odds cluster tightly between the 86–87°F and 88–89°F brackets. These outcomes sit well above the May climatological average high of 85°F yet remain below the threshold for strong heat advection. Final resolution will hinge on the official 24-hour maximum recorded at Dallas-Fort Worth International Airport.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiHighest temperature in Dallas on May 18?
86-87°F 36%
88-89°F 33%
90-91°F 20%
92°F or higher 7%
$13,981 Vol.
$13,981 Vol.
73°F or below
<1%
74-75°F
<1%
76-77°F
<1%
78-79°F
<1%
80-81°F
<1%
82-83°F
1%
84-85°F
4%
86-87°F
36%
88-89°F
33%
90-91°F
20%
92°F or higher
7%
86-87°F 36%
88-89°F 33%
90-91°F 20%
92°F or higher 7%
$13,981 Vol.
$13,981 Vol.
73°F or below
<1%
74-75°F
<1%
76-77°F
<1%
78-79°F
<1%
80-81°F
<1%
82-83°F
1%
84-85°F
4%
86-87°F
36%
88-89°F
33%
90-91°F
20%
92°F or higher
7%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Dallas Love Field Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDAL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Pasar Dibuka: May 16, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
Sumber Resolusi
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDALThe resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Dallas Love Field Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDAL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Sumber Resolusi
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDALNational Weather Service forecasts for Dallas point to a high near 89°F on May 18 under partly cloudy skies with light southerly flow and a slight chance of afternoon showers, keeping maximum temperatures in the upper 80s rather than pushing into the low 90s. Model consensus from recent runs shows modest differences in cloud timing and boundary-layer moisture that could shift the peak by 1–2°F, which explains why trader-implied odds cluster tightly between the 86–87°F and 88–89°F brackets. These outcomes sit well above the May climatological average high of 85°F yet remain below the threshold for strong heat advection. Final resolution will hinge on the official 24-hour maximum recorded at Dallas-Fort Worth International Airport.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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