The overwhelming market consensus on a 74-75°F high for Denver on August 4 stems from the official National Weather Service observation at the primary reporting station, which recorded a daily maximum of 73°F late that afternoon following the extreme 102°F record set on August 3. This sharp cooldown aligned with updated model guidance incorporating cooler air advection and increased cloud cover after the prolonged heat wave, consistent with climatological patterns where post-record heat days often see rapid temperature drops of 20+°F. Traders' skin-in-the-game positioning reflects high confidence in the verified measurement, with negligible odds on other bins. The outcome could face minor challenge only from rare station-specific discrepancies or post-analysis revisions, though such adjustments remain historically uncommon for this metric.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiHighest temperature in Denver on August 4?
Highest temperature in Denver on August 4?
74-75°F 100.0%
71°F or below <1%
72-73°F <1%
76-77°F <1%
$49,140 Vol.
$49,140 Vol.
Aug 4, 2026
71°F or below
<1%
72-73°F
<1%
74-75°F
100%
76-77°F
<1%
78-79°F
<1%
80-81°F
<1%
82-83°F
<1%
84-85°F
<1%
86-87°F
<1%
88-89°F
<1%
90°F or higher
<1%
74-75°F 100.0%
71°F or below <1%
72-73°F <1%
76-77°F <1%
$49,140 Vol.
$49,140 Vol.
Aug 4, 2026
71°F or below
$5,508 Vol.
<1%
72-73°F
$6,996 Vol.
<1%
74-75°F
$8,971 Vol.
100%
76-77°F
$4,459 Vol.
<1%
78-79°F
$7,611 Vol.
<1%
80-81°F
$7,490 Vol.
<1%
82-83°F
$2,785 Vol.
<1%
84-85°F
$2,600 Vol.
<1%
86-87°F
$1,446 Vol.
<1%
88-89°F
$540 Vol.
<1%
90°F or higher
$733 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Buckley Space Force Base Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 4 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Buckley Space Force Base Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.The overwhelming market consensus on a 74-75°F high for Denver on August 4 stems from the official National Weather Service observation at the primary reporting station, which recorded a daily maximum of 73°F late that afternoon following the extreme 102°F record set on August 3. This sharp cooldown aligned with updated model guidance incorporating cooler air advection and increased cloud cover after the prolonged heat wave, consistent with climatological patterns where post-record heat days often see rapid temperature drops of 20+°F. Traders' skin-in-the-game positioning reflects high confidence in the verified measurement, with negligible odds on other bins. The outcome could face minor challenge only from rare station-specific discrepancies or post-analysis revisions, though such adjustments remain historically uncommon for this metric.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Buckley Space Force Base Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 4 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Buckley Space Force Base Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Buckley Space Force Base Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Aug 2, 2026, 9:04 PM ET
Volume
$49,140Tanggal Berakhir
Aug 4, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Aug 2, 2026, 9:04 PM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKFResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Buckley Space Force Base Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 4 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Buckley Space Force Base Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.The overwhelming market consensus on a 74-75°F high for Denver on August 4 stems from the official National Weather Service observation at the primary reporting station, which recorded a daily maximum of 73°F late that afternoon following the extreme 102°F record set on August 3. This sharp cooldown aligned with updated model guidance incorporating cooler air advection and increased cloud cover after the prolonged heat wave, consistent with climatological patterns where post-record heat days often see rapid temperature drops of 20+°F. Traders' skin-in-the-game positioning reflects high confidence in the verified measurement, with negligible odds on other bins. The outcome could face minor challenge only from rare station-specific discrepancies or post-analysis revisions, though such adjustments remain historically uncommon for this metric.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Buckley Space Force Base Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 4 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Buckley Space Force Base Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Buckley Space Force Base Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$49,140Tanggal Berakhir
Aug 4, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Aug 2, 2026, 9:04 PM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKFResolver
0x69c47De9D...The overwhelming market consensus on a 74-75°F high for Denver on August 4 stems from the official National Weather Service observation at the primary reporting station, which recorded a daily maximum of 73°F late that afternoon following the extreme 102°F record set on August 3. This sharp cooldown aligned with updated model guidance incorporating cooler air advection and increased cloud cover after the prolonged heat wave, consistent with climatological patterns where post-record heat days often see rapid temperature drops of 20+°F. Traders' skin-in-the-game positioning reflects high confidence in the verified measurement, with negligible odds on other bins. The outcome could face minor challenge only from rare station-specific discrepancies or post-analysis revisions, though such adjustments remain historically uncommon for this metric.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
Hati-hati dengan link eksternal.
Hati-hati dengan link eksternal.
Pertanyaan yang Sering Diajukan