Recent ensemble forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration and global models like ECMWF indicate a high likelihood of a 27°C peak in Guangzhou on May 17, driven by persistent cloud cover and scattered showers that suppress daytime heating in this subtropical region. Historical May climatology shows average highs near 29°C, yet current steering patterns and moisture influx align with readings capped at or below the recent baseline. Traders have consolidated around the 27°C outcome as the most probable resolution based on official station data from Baiyun International Airport. Unexpected afternoon clearing or reduced rainfall could push temperatures toward 28–29°C, while heavier convective activity might hold the maximum lower.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiHighest temperature in Guangzhou on May 17?
27°C 100.0%
22°C or below <1%
23°C <1%
24°C <1%
$30,156 Vol.
$30,156 Vol.
22°C or below
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
100%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C or higher
<1%
27°C 100.0%
22°C or below <1%
23°C <1%
24°C <1%
$30,156 Vol.
$30,156 Vol.
22°C or below
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
100%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Pasar Dibuka: May 15, 2026, 12:06 AM ET
Sumber Resolusi
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGGThe resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Sumber Resolusi
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGGRecent ensemble forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration and global models like ECMWF indicate a high likelihood of a 27°C peak in Guangzhou on May 17, driven by persistent cloud cover and scattered showers that suppress daytime heating in this subtropical region. Historical May climatology shows average highs near 29°C, yet current steering patterns and moisture influx align with readings capped at or below the recent baseline. Traders have consolidated around the 27°C outcome as the most probable resolution based on official station data from Baiyun International Airport. Unexpected afternoon clearing or reduced rainfall could push temperatures toward 28–29°C, while heavier convective activity might hold the maximum lower.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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