Official measurements from the Hong Kong Observatory recorded a daily maximum of exactly 27°C on May 15, 2026, under persistent high pressure and subtropical conditions typical for mid-May. This verified station reading from the primary urban site aligns with climatological norms, where average highs in the period climb from the mid-20s toward 30°C as the southwest monsoon strengthens. Traders have anchored near-certainty on the 27°C outcome because resolution depends strictly on this official datum rather than models or forecasts. Minor deviations remain theoretically possible only through post-hoc data revisions or instrument recalibration, though historical precedents show such adjustments are rare for this threshold. Upcoming seasonal outlooks from the Observatory continue to project normal-to-above-normal temperatures through July amid broader warming trends.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiHighest temperature in Hong Kong on May 15?
Highest temperature in Hong Kong on May 15?
27°C 99.9%
26°C <1%
19°C or below <1%
20°C <1%
$292,433 Vol.
$292,433 Vol.
May 15, 2026
19°C or below
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
100%
28°C
<1%
29°C or higher
<1%
27°C 99.9%
26°C <1%
19°C or below <1%
20°C <1%
$292,433 Vol.
$292,433 Vol.
May 15, 2026
19°C or below
$3,583 Vol.
<1%
20°C
$2,551 Vol.
<1%
21°C
$3,480 Vol.
<1%
22°C
$3,250 Vol.
<1%
23°C
$3,799 Vol.
<1%
24°C
$5,477 Vol.
<1%
25°C
$30,336 Vol.
<1%
26°C
$69,254 Vol.
<1%
27°C
$89,457 Vol.
100%
28°C
$45,405 Vol.
<1%
29°C or higher
$35,841 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 15 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official measurements from the Hong Kong Observatory recorded a daily maximum of exactly 27°C on May 15, 2026, under persistent high pressure and subtropical conditions typical for mid-May. This verified station reading from the primary urban site aligns with climatological norms, where average highs in the period climb from the mid-20s toward 30°C as the southwest monsoon strengthens. Traders have anchored near-certainty on the 27°C outcome because resolution depends strictly on this official datum rather than models or forecasts. Minor deviations remain theoretically possible only through post-hoc data revisions or instrument recalibration, though historical precedents show such adjustments are rare for this threshold. Upcoming seasonal outlooks from the Observatory continue to project normal-to-above-normal temperatures through July amid broader warming trends.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 15 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Pasar Dibuka: May 13, 2026, 12:06 AM ET
Volume
$292,433Tanggal Berakhir
May 15, 2026Pasar Dibuka
May 13, 2026, 12:06 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 15 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official measurements from the Hong Kong Observatory recorded a daily maximum of exactly 27°C on May 15, 2026, under persistent high pressure and subtropical conditions typical for mid-May. This verified station reading from the primary urban site aligns with climatological norms, where average highs in the period climb from the mid-20s toward 30°C as the southwest monsoon strengthens. Traders have anchored near-certainty on the 27°C outcome because resolution depends strictly on this official datum rather than models or forecasts. Minor deviations remain theoretically possible only through post-hoc data revisions or instrument recalibration, though historical precedents show such adjustments are rare for this threshold. Upcoming seasonal outlooks from the Observatory continue to project normal-to-above-normal temperatures through July amid broader warming trends.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 15 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$292,433Tanggal Berakhir
May 15, 2026Pasar Dibuka
May 13, 2026, 12:06 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Official measurements from the Hong Kong Observatory recorded a daily maximum of exactly 27°C on May 15, 2026, under persistent high pressure and subtropical conditions typical for mid-May. This verified station reading from the primary urban site aligns with climatological norms, where average highs in the period climb from the mid-20s toward 30°C as the southwest monsoon strengthens. Traders have anchored near-certainty on the 27°C outcome because resolution depends strictly on this official datum rather than models or forecasts. Minor deviations remain theoretically possible only through post-hoc data revisions or instrument recalibration, though historical precedents show such adjustments are rare for this threshold. Upcoming seasonal outlooks from the Observatory continue to project normal-to-above-normal temperatures through July amid broader warming trends.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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