Recent National Weather Service forecasts for Houston show daytime highs in the upper 80s to low 90s on May 17, supported by a strong high-pressure ridge and southerly flow advecting Gulf moisture and warmth. These conditions align with typical late-spring patterns yet exceed seasonal normals due to minimal cloud cover and light winds limiting overnight cooling. NOAA model consensus reinforces limited variability in peak readings, driving the 86°F-or-higher outcome to an 83.4% market-implied probability. Traders are watching the next official afternoon observation and any final forecast adjustments that could alter resolution based on the daily maximum temperature threshold.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiHighest temperature in Houston on May 17?
Highest temperature in Houston on May 17?
86°F or higher 79.5%
84-85°F 24%
82-83°F <1%
67°F or below <1%
$15,061 Vol.
$15,061 Vol.
May 17, 2026
67°F or below
<1%
68-69°F
<1%
70-71°F
<1%
72-73°F
<1%
74-75°F
<1%
76-77°F
<1%
78-79°F
<1%
80-81°F
<1%
82-83°F
<1%
84-85°F
24%
86°F or higher
80%
86°F or higher 79.5%
84-85°F 24%
82-83°F <1%
67°F or below <1%
$15,061 Vol.
$15,061 Vol.
May 17, 2026
67°F or below
$1,361 Vol.
<1%
68-69°F
$2,053 Vol.
<1%
70-71°F
$3,678 Vol.
<1%
72-73°F
$366 Vol.
<1%
74-75°F
$476 Vol.
<1%
76-77°F
$250 Vol.
<1%
78-79°F
$795 Vol.
<1%
80-81°F
$1,605 Vol.
<1%
82-83°F
$1,307 Vol.
<1%
84-85°F
$1,818 Vol.
24%
86°F or higher
$1,397 Vol.
80%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the William P. Hobby Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent National Weather Service forecasts for Houston show daytime highs in the upper 80s to low 90s on May 17, supported by a strong high-pressure ridge and southerly flow advecting Gulf moisture and warmth. These conditions align with typical late-spring patterns yet exceed seasonal normals due to minimal cloud cover and light winds limiting overnight cooling. NOAA model consensus reinforces limited variability in peak readings, driving the 86°F-or-higher outcome to an 83.4% market-implied probability. Traders are watching the next official afternoon observation and any final forecast adjustments that could alter resolution based on the daily maximum temperature threshold.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the William P. Hobby Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the William P. Hobby Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Pasar Dibuka: May 15, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
Volume
$15,061Tanggal Berakhir
May 17, 2026Pasar Dibuka
May 15, 2026, 12:05 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the William P. Hobby Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent National Weather Service forecasts for Houston show daytime highs in the upper 80s to low 90s on May 17, supported by a strong high-pressure ridge and southerly flow advecting Gulf moisture and warmth. These conditions align with typical late-spring patterns yet exceed seasonal normals due to minimal cloud cover and light winds limiting overnight cooling. NOAA model consensus reinforces limited variability in peak readings, driving the 86°F-or-higher outcome to an 83.4% market-implied probability. Traders are watching the next official afternoon observation and any final forecast adjustments that could alter resolution based on the daily maximum temperature threshold.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the William P. Hobby Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the William P. Hobby Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$15,061Tanggal Berakhir
May 17, 2026Pasar Dibuka
May 15, 2026, 12:05 AM ETRecent National Weather Service forecasts for Houston show daytime highs in the upper 80s to low 90s on May 17, supported by a strong high-pressure ridge and southerly flow advecting Gulf moisture and warmth. These conditions align with typical late-spring patterns yet exceed seasonal normals due to minimal cloud cover and light winds limiting overnight cooling. NOAA model consensus reinforces limited variability in peak readings, driving the 86°F-or-higher outcome to an 83.4% market-implied probability. Traders are watching the next official afternoon observation and any final forecast adjustments that could alter resolution based on the daily maximum temperature threshold.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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