Forecast consensus from sources including the UK Met Office points to a daytime maximum of 28°C in Istanbul on June 15, 2026, under mostly sunny skies and light southerly flow that supports modest daytime heating. This aligns with mid-June climatology (long-term highs near 25–26°C) but reflects a slight positive anomaly from stable high pressure and minimal cloud cover. Model runs show limited spread, with the highest temperature likely falling in the 27–29°C range depending on exact insolation and urban heat effects. Traders have priced 28°C and 29°C as the leading outcomes (combined ~60% implied probability) because official forecasts cluster there while acknowledging small uncertainties in boundary-layer mixing and any late-day sea-breeze moderation. No major synoptic shifts are expected before resolution.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiHighest temperature in Istanbul on June 15?
Highest temperature in Istanbul on June 15?
29°C 37%
28°C 25%
30°C 22%
31°C 8%
BARU
BARU
Jun 15, 2026
26°C or below
3%
27°C
7%
28°C
25%
29°C
37%
30°C
22%
31°C
8%
32°C
2%
33°C
1%
34°C
<1%
35°C
<1%
36°C or higher
<1%
29°C 37%
28°C 25%
30°C 22%
31°C 8%
BARU
BARU
Jun 15, 2026
26°C or below
$102 Vol.
3%
27°C
$127 Vol.
7%
28°C
$44 Vol.
25%
29°C
$194 Vol.
37%
30°C
$513 Vol.
22%
31°C
$396 Vol.
8%
32°C
$459 Vol.
2%
33°C
$91 Vol.
1%
34°C
$708 Vol.
<1%
35°C
$281 Vol.
<1%
36°C or higher
$184 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 15 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast consensus from sources including the UK Met Office points to a daytime maximum of 28°C in Istanbul on June 15, 2026, under mostly sunny skies and light southerly flow that supports modest daytime heating. This aligns with mid-June climatology (long-term highs near 25–26°C) but reflects a slight positive anomaly from stable high pressure and minimal cloud cover. Model runs show limited spread, with the highest temperature likely falling in the 27–29°C range depending on exact insolation and urban heat effects. Traders have priced 28°C and 29°C as the leading outcomes (combined ~60% implied probability) because official forecasts cluster there while acknowledging small uncertainties in boundary-layer mixing and any late-day sea-breeze moderation. No major synoptic shifts are expected before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 15 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Jun 13, 2026, 12:12 AM ET
Volume
$3,080Tanggal Berakhir
Jun 15, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Jun 13, 2026, 12:12 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 15 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast consensus from sources including the UK Met Office points to a daytime maximum of 28°C in Istanbul on June 15, 2026, under mostly sunny skies and light southerly flow that supports modest daytime heating. This aligns with mid-June climatology (long-term highs near 25–26°C) but reflects a slight positive anomaly from stable high pressure and minimal cloud cover. Model runs show limited spread, with the highest temperature likely falling in the 27–29°C range depending on exact insolation and urban heat effects. Traders have priced 28°C and 29°C as the leading outcomes (combined ~60% implied probability) because official forecasts cluster there while acknowledging small uncertainties in boundary-layer mixing and any late-day sea-breeze moderation. No major synoptic shifts are expected before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 15 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$3,080Tanggal Berakhir
Jun 15, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Jun 13, 2026, 12:12 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Forecast consensus from sources including the UK Met Office points to a daytime maximum of 28°C in Istanbul on June 15, 2026, under mostly sunny skies and light southerly flow that supports modest daytime heating. This aligns with mid-June climatology (long-term highs near 25–26°C) but reflects a slight positive anomaly from stable high pressure and minimal cloud cover. Model runs show limited spread, with the highest temperature likely falling in the 27–29°C range depending on exact insolation and urban heat effects. Traders have priced 28°C and 29°C as the leading outcomes (combined ~60% implied probability) because official forecasts cluster there while acknowledging small uncertainties in boundary-layer mixing and any late-day sea-breeze moderation. No major synoptic shifts are expected before resolution.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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