Latest ensemble forecasts from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts and Global Forecast System indicate a daytime maximum near 21–22°C for Istanbul on May 18, consistent with mid-May climatological norms of 20–22°C tracked by the Turkish State Meteorological Service. Trader sentiment clusters around these outcomes because subtle differences in afternoon cloud cover, sea-breeze strength off the Marmara Sea, and the timing of any weak frontal passage can shift the peak by 1°C. With probabilities closely split, small revisions in the next model runs or real-time observations from Istanbul’s main stations could quickly reallocate volume toward the 21°C or 22°C bucket.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiHighest temperature in Istanbul on May 18?
Highest temperature in Istanbul on May 18?
21°C 33%
22°C 31%
20°C 15%
23°C or higher 14.1%
BARU
$10,152 Vol.
BARU
$10,152 Vol.
May 18, 2026
13°C or below
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
5%
20°C
15%
21°C
33%
22°C
31%
23°C or higher
14%
21°C 33%
22°C 31%
20°C 15%
23°C or higher 14.1%
BARU
$10,152 Vol.
BARU
$10,152 Vol.
May 18, 2026
13°C or below
$589 Vol.
<1%
14°C
$844 Vol.
<1%
15°C
$1,124 Vol.
<1%
16°C
$810 Vol.
<1%
17°C
$1,704 Vol.
<1%
18°C
$1,212 Vol.
<1%
19°C
$1,042 Vol.
5%
20°C
$493 Vol.
15%
21°C
$514 Vol.
33%
22°C
$444 Vol.
31%
23°C or higher
$1,375 Vol.
14%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 18 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest ensemble forecasts from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts and Global Forecast System indicate a daytime maximum near 21–22°C for Istanbul on May 18, consistent with mid-May climatological norms of 20–22°C tracked by the Turkish State Meteorological Service. Trader sentiment clusters around these outcomes because subtle differences in afternoon cloud cover, sea-breeze strength off the Marmara Sea, and the timing of any weak frontal passage can shift the peak by 1°C. With probabilities closely split, small revisions in the next model runs or real-time observations from Istanbul’s main stations could quickly reallocate volume toward the 21°C or 22°C bucket.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 18 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Pasar Dibuka: May 16, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
Volume
$10,152Tanggal Berakhir
May 18, 2026Pasar Dibuka
May 16, 2026, 12:05 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 18 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest ensemble forecasts from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts and Global Forecast System indicate a daytime maximum near 21–22°C for Istanbul on May 18, consistent with mid-May climatological norms of 20–22°C tracked by the Turkish State Meteorological Service. Trader sentiment clusters around these outcomes because subtle differences in afternoon cloud cover, sea-breeze strength off the Marmara Sea, and the timing of any weak frontal passage can shift the peak by 1°C. With probabilities closely split, small revisions in the next model runs or real-time observations from Istanbul’s main stations could quickly reallocate volume toward the 21°C or 22°C bucket.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 18 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$10,152Tanggal Berakhir
May 18, 2026Pasar Dibuka
May 16, 2026, 12:05 AM ETLatest ensemble forecasts from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts and Global Forecast System indicate a daytime maximum near 21–22°C for Istanbul on May 18, consistent with mid-May climatological norms of 20–22°C tracked by the Turkish State Meteorological Service. Trader sentiment clusters around these outcomes because subtle differences in afternoon cloud cover, sea-breeze strength off the Marmara Sea, and the timing of any weak frontal passage can shift the peak by 1°C. With probabilities closely split, small revisions in the next model runs or real-time observations from Istanbul’s main stations could quickly reallocate volume toward the 21°C or 22°C bucket.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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