Recent ensemble forecasts from the ECMWF and GFS models project a highest temperature in Istanbul on May 18 near the seasonal average of 20–22 °C, with modest uncertainty arising from variable cloud cover and Bosphorus marine influence that can suppress afternoon warming by 1–2 °C. A building high-pressure ridge over the eastern Mediterranean favors light southerly flow that could push readings to 22 °C if skies remain mostly clear, while increased low-level moisture or stronger northerly winds would cap the peak at 19–20 °C. These closely matched market-implied odds reflect the narrow spread in current guidance, with final resolution determined by official observations at Istanbul Airport; updated model runs on May 17 will likely tighten the range before the daily maximum is recorded.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiHighest temperature in Istanbul on May 18?
Highest temperature in Istanbul on May 18?
20°C 24%
21°C 23%
19°C 21%
22°C 17%
BARU
BARU
May 18, 2026
13°C or below
1%
14°C
2%
15°C
3%
16°C
3%
17°C
4%
18°C
12%
19°C
21%
20°C
24%
21°C
23%
22°C
17%
23°C or higher
15%
20°C 24%
21°C 23%
19°C 21%
22°C 17%
BARU
BARU
May 18, 2026
13°C or below
$115 Vol.
1%
14°C
$23 Vol.
2%
15°C
$13 Vol.
3%
16°C
$13 Vol.
3%
17°C
$0 Vol.
4%
18°C
$0 Vol.
12%
19°C
$0 Vol.
21%
20°C
$0 Vol.
24%
21°C
$0 Vol.
23%
22°C
$15 Vol.
17%
23°C or higher
$33 Vol.
15%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 18 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent ensemble forecasts from the ECMWF and GFS models project a highest temperature in Istanbul on May 18 near the seasonal average of 20–22 °C, with modest uncertainty arising from variable cloud cover and Bosphorus marine influence that can suppress afternoon warming by 1–2 °C. A building high-pressure ridge over the eastern Mediterranean favors light southerly flow that could push readings to 22 °C if skies remain mostly clear, while increased low-level moisture or stronger northerly winds would cap the peak at 19–20 °C. These closely matched market-implied odds reflect the narrow spread in current guidance, with final resolution determined by official observations at Istanbul Airport; updated model runs on May 17 will likely tighten the range before the daily maximum is recorded.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 18 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Pasar Dibuka: May 16, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
Volume
$199Tanggal Berakhir
May 18, 2026Pasar Dibuka
May 16, 2026, 12:05 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 18 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent ensemble forecasts from the ECMWF and GFS models project a highest temperature in Istanbul on May 18 near the seasonal average of 20–22 °C, with modest uncertainty arising from variable cloud cover and Bosphorus marine influence that can suppress afternoon warming by 1–2 °C. A building high-pressure ridge over the eastern Mediterranean favors light southerly flow that could push readings to 22 °C if skies remain mostly clear, while increased low-level moisture or stronger northerly winds would cap the peak at 19–20 °C. These closely matched market-implied odds reflect the narrow spread in current guidance, with final resolution determined by official observations at Istanbul Airport; updated model runs on May 17 will likely tighten the range before the daily maximum is recorded.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 18 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$199Tanggal Berakhir
May 18, 2026Pasar Dibuka
May 16, 2026, 12:05 AM ETRecent ensemble forecasts from the ECMWF and GFS models project a highest temperature in Istanbul on May 18 near the seasonal average of 20–22 °C, with modest uncertainty arising from variable cloud cover and Bosphorus marine influence that can suppress afternoon warming by 1–2 °C. A building high-pressure ridge over the eastern Mediterranean favors light southerly flow that could push readings to 22 °C if skies remain mostly clear, while increased low-level moisture or stronger northerly winds would cap the peak at 19–20 °C. These closely matched market-implied odds reflect the narrow spread in current guidance, with final resolution determined by official observations at Istanbul Airport; updated model runs on May 17 will likely tighten the range before the daily maximum is recorded.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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