The overwhelming trader consensus for a maximum of 41°C or below in Lucknow on May 17 stems primarily from the India Meteorological Department’s latest forecast projecting a peak near 41°C under mainly clear pre-monsoon skies across the Ganges Plain. This aligns with recent observations of suppressed daytime heating from lingering moisture and scattered thunderstorm activity that have kept readings several degrees below the typical mid-May climatological baseline of 40–42°C. With minimal model spread in this short-range outlook and final resolution tied to official airport observatory data, the market assigns only negligible probability to higher brackets. Any last-minute drying trend or stronger solar insolation could still push readings toward 42°C before sunset.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiHighest temperature in Lucknow on May 17?
41°C or below 99.8%
43°C <1%
42°C <1%
44°C <1%
$43,994 Vol.
$43,994 Vol.
41°C or below
100%
42°C
<1%
43°C
<1%
44°C
<1%
45°C
<1%
46°C
<1%
47°C
<1%
48°C
<1%
49°C
<1%
50°C
<1%
51°C or higher
<1%
41°C or below 99.8%
43°C <1%
42°C <1%
44°C <1%
$43,994 Vol.
$43,994 Vol.
41°C or below
100%
42°C
<1%
43°C
<1%
44°C
<1%
45°C
<1%
46°C
<1%
47°C
<1%
48°C
<1%
49°C
<1%
50°C
<1%
51°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Pasar Dibuka: May 15, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
Sumber Resolusi
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILKThe resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Sumber Resolusi
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILKThe overwhelming trader consensus for a maximum of 41°C or below in Lucknow on May 17 stems primarily from the India Meteorological Department’s latest forecast projecting a peak near 41°C under mainly clear pre-monsoon skies across the Ganges Plain. This aligns with recent observations of suppressed daytime heating from lingering moisture and scattered thunderstorm activity that have kept readings several degrees below the typical mid-May climatological baseline of 40–42°C. With minimal model spread in this short-range outlook and final resolution tied to official airport observatory data, the market assigns only negligible probability to higher brackets. Any last-minute drying trend or stronger solar insolation could still push readings toward 42°C before sunset.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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