Southwest monsoon activity and associated cloud cover are the main drivers keeping the highest temperature in Manila on August 5 clustered around 28–30 °C in trader pricing. PAGASA forecasts for Metro Manila indicate daytime maxima of 30–31 °C under mostly cloudy skies with a 30–90 % chance of moderate to heavy rain, which limits surface heating compared with typical August climatology of 31 °C highs. Persistent habagat flow enhances convective cloud development and reduces insolation, favoring the 28 °C outcome at 64 % implied probability while capping upside risk above 30 °C. Updated model runs and official advisories issued in the past 48 hours have reinforced these conditions, with any clearing trend the key variable that could shift the final maximum.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiHighest temperature in Manila on August 5?
Highest temperature in Manila on August 5?
28°C 67%
29°C 22%
30°C 13%
31°C 1.0%
BARU
$17,845 Vol.
BARU
$17,845 Vol.
Aug 5, 2026
22°C or below
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
67%
29°C
22%
30°C
13%
31°C
1%
32°C or higher
<1%
28°C 67%
29°C 22%
30°C 13%
31°C 1.0%
BARU
$17,845 Vol.
BARU
$17,845 Vol.
Aug 5, 2026
22°C or below
$938 Vol.
<1%
23°C
$267 Vol.
<1%
24°C
$434 Vol.
<1%
25°C
$440 Vol.
<1%
26°C
$1,625 Vol.
<1%
27°C
$2,596 Vol.
<1%
28°C
$2,269 Vol.
67%
29°C
$3,545 Vol.
22%
30°C
$2,206 Vol.
13%
31°C
$2,103 Vol.
1%
32°C or higher
$1,422 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Southwest monsoon activity and associated cloud cover are the main drivers keeping the highest temperature in Manila on August 5 clustered around 28–30 °C in trader pricing. PAGASA forecasts for Metro Manila indicate daytime maxima of 30–31 °C under mostly cloudy skies with a 30–90 % chance of moderate to heavy rain, which limits surface heating compared with typical August climatology of 31 °C highs. Persistent habagat flow enhances convective cloud development and reduces insolation, favoring the 28 °C outcome at 64 % implied probability while capping upside risk above 30 °C. Updated model runs and official advisories issued in the past 48 hours have reinforced these conditions, with any clearing trend the key variable that could shift the final maximum.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Aug 3, 2026, 12:09 AM ET
Volume
$17,845Tanggal Berakhir
Aug 5, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Aug 3, 2026, 12:09 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLLResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Southwest monsoon activity and associated cloud cover are the main drivers keeping the highest temperature in Manila on August 5 clustered around 28–30 °C in trader pricing. PAGASA forecasts for Metro Manila indicate daytime maxima of 30–31 °C under mostly cloudy skies with a 30–90 % chance of moderate to heavy rain, which limits surface heating compared with typical August climatology of 31 °C highs. Persistent habagat flow enhances convective cloud development and reduces insolation, favoring the 28 °C outcome at 64 % implied probability while capping upside risk above 30 °C. Updated model runs and official advisories issued in the past 48 hours have reinforced these conditions, with any clearing trend the key variable that could shift the final maximum.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$17,845Tanggal Berakhir
Aug 5, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Aug 3, 2026, 12:09 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLLResolver
0x69c47De9D...Southwest monsoon activity and associated cloud cover are the main drivers keeping the highest temperature in Manila on August 5 clustered around 28–30 °C in trader pricing. PAGASA forecasts for Metro Manila indicate daytime maxima of 30–31 °C under mostly cloudy skies with a 30–90 % chance of moderate to heavy rain, which limits surface heating compared with typical August climatology of 31 °C highs. Persistent habagat flow enhances convective cloud development and reduces insolation, favoring the 28 °C outcome at 64 % implied probability while capping upside risk above 30 °C. Updated model runs and official advisories issued in the past 48 hours have reinforced these conditions, with any clearing trend the key variable that could shift the final maximum.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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