Current National Weather Service guidance and ensemble model consensus indicate partly cloudy conditions over Miami with daytime highs likely peaking in the mid to upper 80s, driven by typical late-spring sea-breeze circulation, moderate humidity levels around 70-80 percent, and limited afternoon convection. These factors position the 84-85°F and 86-87°F brackets as the dominant outcomes in trader sentiment, consistent with May climatological normals near 86°F at Miami International Airport while allowing for 1-2°F variability from cloud timing or wind shifts. Recent model runs show minor disagreements on sea-breeze onset, sustaining the tight spread across these ranges ahead of final observations.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiHighest temperature in Miami on May 17?
84-85°F 44%
82-83°F 26.8%
86-87°F 21%
88-89°F 6.3%
$66,747 Vol.
$66,747 Vol.
75°F or below
<1%
76-77°F
<1%
78-79°F
<1%
80-81°F
<1%
82-83°F
27%
84-85°F
44%
86-87°F
21%
88-89°F
6%
90-91°F
1%
92-93°F
1%
94°F or higher
<1%
84-85°F 44%
82-83°F 26.8%
86-87°F 21%
88-89°F 6.3%
$66,747 Vol.
$66,747 Vol.
75°F or below
<1%
76-77°F
<1%
78-79°F
<1%
80-81°F
<1%
82-83°F
27%
84-85°F
44%
86-87°F
21%
88-89°F
6%
90-91°F
1%
92-93°F
1%
94°F or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Miami Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Pasar Dibuka: May 15, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
Sumber Resolusi
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIAThe resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Miami Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Sumber Resolusi
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIACurrent National Weather Service guidance and ensemble model consensus indicate partly cloudy conditions over Miami with daytime highs likely peaking in the mid to upper 80s, driven by typical late-spring sea-breeze circulation, moderate humidity levels around 70-80 percent, and limited afternoon convection. These factors position the 84-85°F and 86-87°F brackets as the dominant outcomes in trader sentiment, consistent with May climatological normals near 86°F at Miami International Airport while allowing for 1-2°F variability from cloud timing or wind shifts. Recent model runs show minor disagreements on sea-breeze onset, sustaining the tight spread across these ranges ahead of final observations.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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