Current ensemble forecasts from global and regional models indicate a Moscow high near 30°C on August 6, with the closely matched market-implied odds for 29°C (38%) and 30°C (36.5%) reflecting uncertainty in peak afternoon readings. Subtle differences in cloud cover, boundary-layer mixing, and local pressure gradients can shift the maximum by 1–2°C, while recent model runs show limited spread amid stable summer synoptic patterns over European Russia. Official observations from the designated station will resolve the outcome, and traders monitor updated guidance for any late adjustments driven by evolving moisture or wind fields.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiHighest temperature in Moscow on August 6?
Highest temperature in Moscow on August 6?
29°C 39%
30°C 37%
28°C 13%
31°C 11%
BARU
BARU
Aug 6, 2026
23°C or below
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
1%
26°C
2%
27°C
4%
28°C
13%
29°C
39%
30°C
37%
31°C
11%
32°C
2%
33°C or higher
1%
29°C 39%
30°C 37%
28°C 13%
31°C 11%
BARU
BARU
Aug 6, 2026
23°C or below
$96 Vol.
<1%
24°C
$537 Vol.
<1%
25°C
$365 Vol.
1%
26°C
$220 Vol.
2%
27°C
$223 Vol.
4%
28°C
$88 Vol.
13%
29°C
$168 Vol.
39%
30°C
$299 Vol.
37%
31°C
$789 Vol.
11%
32°C
$133 Vol.
2%
33°C or higher
$81 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current ensemble forecasts from global and regional models indicate a Moscow high near 30°C on August 6, with the closely matched market-implied odds for 29°C (38%) and 30°C (36.5%) reflecting uncertainty in peak afternoon readings. Subtle differences in cloud cover, boundary-layer mixing, and local pressure gradients can shift the maximum by 1–2°C, while recent model runs show limited spread amid stable summer synoptic patterns over European Russia. Official observations from the designated station will resolve the outcome, and traders monitor updated guidance for any late adjustments driven by evolving moisture or wind fields.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Aug 4, 2026, 1:03 AM ET
Volume
$2,999Tanggal Berakhir
Aug 6, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Aug 4, 2026, 1:03 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current ensemble forecasts from global and regional models indicate a Moscow high near 30°C on August 6, with the closely matched market-implied odds for 29°C (38%) and 30°C (36.5%) reflecting uncertainty in peak afternoon readings. Subtle differences in cloud cover, boundary-layer mixing, and local pressure gradients can shift the maximum by 1–2°C, while recent model runs show limited spread amid stable summer synoptic patterns over European Russia. Official observations from the designated station will resolve the outcome, and traders monitor updated guidance for any late adjustments driven by evolving moisture or wind fields.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$2,999Tanggal Berakhir
Aug 6, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Aug 4, 2026, 1:03 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current ensemble forecasts from global and regional models indicate a Moscow high near 30°C on August 6, with the closely matched market-implied odds for 29°C (38%) and 30°C (36.5%) reflecting uncertainty in peak afternoon readings. Subtle differences in cloud cover, boundary-layer mixing, and local pressure gradients can shift the maximum by 1–2°C, while recent model runs show limited spread amid stable summer synoptic patterns over European Russia. Official observations from the designated station will resolve the outcome, and traders monitor updated guidance for any late adjustments driven by evolving moisture or wind fields.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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