Forecast models from agencies like Russia's Hydrometeorological Center indicate a daytime maximum near 27°C for Moscow on August 5 under stable, mostly cloudy conditions with light winds and negligible precipitation. This consensus arises from consistent high-pressure influence moderating typical August variability, placing the outcome well above the month's 21–23°C climatological average while remaining below outlier warm scenarios. Recent model runs show minimal shifts in steering patterns or temperature advection, supporting the market's strong tilt toward 27°C at 60.5% implied probability, with 26°C and 28°C as close alternatives if minor adjustments occur before resolution.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiHighest temperature in Moscow on August 5?
27°C 59%
28°C 20%
26°C 18%
29°C 3%
$13,978 Vol.
$13,978 Vol.
23°C or below
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
1%
26°C
18%
27°C
59%
28°C
20%
29°C
3%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C or higher
<1%
27°C 59%
28°C 20%
26°C 18%
29°C 3%
$13,978 Vol.
$13,978 Vol.
23°C or below
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
1%
26°C
18%
27°C
59%
28°C
20%
29°C
3%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Aug 3, 2026, 12:07 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Forecast models from agencies like Russia's Hydrometeorological Center indicate a daytime maximum near 27°C for Moscow on August 5 under stable, mostly cloudy conditions with light winds and negligible precipitation. This consensus arises from consistent high-pressure influence moderating typical August variability, placing the outcome well above the month's 21–23°C climatological average while remaining below outlier warm scenarios. Recent model runs show minimal shifts in steering patterns or temperature advection, supporting the market's strong tilt toward 27°C at 60.5% implied probability, with 26°C and 28°C as close alternatives if minor adjustments occur before resolution.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui

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