Recent forecast models from sources including the Turkish State Meteorological Service and European ensembles indicate a peak temperature in Istanbul on August 5 near 28–29 °C under mostly sunny skies, moderate northerly Etesian winds, and typical August humidity levels that limit further warming. This aligns with climatological averages for early August and explains the market-implied odds favoring those two outcomes at over 90% combined. Short-term model runs show limited potential for 30 °C or higher due to persistent sea-breeze cooling from the Bosphorus and Marmara, while minimums near 23 °C reduce the chance of lower maxima. Traders are monitoring the final afternoon observations and any last-minute model updates for resolution, consistent with historical day-to-day variability in the region.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiHighest temperature in Istanbul on August 5?
Highest temperature in Istanbul on August 5?
29°C 55%
28°C 37%
30°C 7%
27°C 5%
BARU
$21,693 Vol.
BARU
$21,693 Vol.
Aug 5, 2026
24°C or below
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
5%
28°C
37%
29°C
55%
30°C
7%
31°C
1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
<1%
34°C or higher
<1%
29°C 55%
28°C 37%
30°C 7%
27°C 5%
BARU
$21,693 Vol.
BARU
$21,693 Vol.
Aug 5, 2026
24°C or below
$443 Vol.
<1%
25°C
$447 Vol.
<1%
26°C
$1,064 Vol.
<1%
27°C
$2,039 Vol.
5%
28°C
$4,761 Vol.
37%
29°C
$2,768 Vol.
55%
30°C
$2,501 Vol.
7%
31°C
$2,519 Vol.
1%
32°C
$1,177 Vol.
<1%
33°C
$1,819 Vol.
<1%
34°C or higher
$2,154 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 5 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast models from sources including the Turkish State Meteorological Service and European ensembles indicate a peak temperature in Istanbul on August 5 near 28–29 °C under mostly sunny skies, moderate northerly Etesian winds, and typical August humidity levels that limit further warming. This aligns with climatological averages for early August and explains the market-implied odds favoring those two outcomes at over 90% combined. Short-term model runs show limited potential for 30 °C or higher due to persistent sea-breeze cooling from the Bosphorus and Marmara, while minimums near 23 °C reduce the chance of lower maxima. Traders are monitoring the final afternoon observations and any last-minute model updates for resolution, consistent with historical day-to-day variability in the region.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 5 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Aug 3, 2026, 12:07 AM ET
Volume
$21,693Tanggal Berakhir
Aug 5, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Aug 3, 2026, 12:07 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 5 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast models from sources including the Turkish State Meteorological Service and European ensembles indicate a peak temperature in Istanbul on August 5 near 28–29 °C under mostly sunny skies, moderate northerly Etesian winds, and typical August humidity levels that limit further warming. This aligns with climatological averages for early August and explains the market-implied odds favoring those two outcomes at over 90% combined. Short-term model runs show limited potential for 30 °C or higher due to persistent sea-breeze cooling from the Bosphorus and Marmara, while minimums near 23 °C reduce the chance of lower maxima. Traders are monitoring the final afternoon observations and any last-minute model updates for resolution, consistent with historical day-to-day variability in the region.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 5 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$21,693Tanggal Berakhir
Aug 5, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Aug 3, 2026, 12:07 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecast models from sources including the Turkish State Meteorological Service and European ensembles indicate a peak temperature in Istanbul on August 5 near 28–29 °C under mostly sunny skies, moderate northerly Etesian winds, and typical August humidity levels that limit further warming. This aligns with climatological averages for early August and explains the market-implied odds favoring those two outcomes at over 90% combined. Short-term model runs show limited potential for 30 °C or higher due to persistent sea-breeze cooling from the Bosphorus and Marmara, while minimums near 23 °C reduce the chance of lower maxima. Traders are monitoring the final afternoon observations and any last-minute model updates for resolution, consistent with historical day-to-day variability in the region.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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