Recent forecasts from the Korea Meteorological Administration indicate Seoul will experience a mild late-spring day on May 18 under clear skies and light southwesterly flow, with daytime boundary-layer heating expected to push the official maximum to 25°C or higher. This outlook aligns with mid-May climatology at 37.5°N, where average highs range 23–26°C amid lengthening daylight and the seasonal retreat of cooler northerly air masses. Ensemble guidance shows modest spread around the central value, with warmer solutions tied to stronger mixing and slight cooling possible only if cloud cover increases or winds shift earlier than modeled. Traders are weighting these variables against the narrow resolution window for the Incheon station reading, sustaining the strong market-implied probability for the upper outcome while leaving limited room for downward revision absent a significant forecast shift.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiHighest temperature in Seoul on May 18?
Highest temperature in Seoul on May 18?
25°C or higher 85%
24°C 14%
23°C <1%
15°C or below <1%
BARU
$89,090 Vol.
BARU
$89,090 Vol.
May 18, 2026
15°C or below
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
1%
24°C
14%
25°C or higher
85%
25°C or higher 85%
24°C 14%
23°C <1%
15°C or below <1%
BARU
$89,090 Vol.
BARU
$89,090 Vol.
May 18, 2026
15°C or below
$12,932 Vol.
<1%
16°C
$5,911 Vol.
<1%
17°C
$5,706 Vol.
<1%
18°C
$8,650 Vol.
<1%
19°C
$4,641 Vol.
<1%
20°C
$3,445 Vol.
<1%
21°C
$9,836 Vol.
<1%
22°C
$11,708 Vol.
<1%
23°C
$8,022 Vol.
1%
24°C
$4,827 Vol.
14%
25°C or higher
$13,541 Vol.
85%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent forecasts from the Korea Meteorological Administration indicate Seoul will experience a mild late-spring day on May 18 under clear skies and light southwesterly flow, with daytime boundary-layer heating expected to push the official maximum to 25°C or higher. This outlook aligns with mid-May climatology at 37.5°N, where average highs range 23–26°C amid lengthening daylight and the seasonal retreat of cooler northerly air masses. Ensemble guidance shows modest spread around the central value, with warmer solutions tied to stronger mixing and slight cooling possible only if cloud cover increases or winds shift earlier than modeled. Traders are weighting these variables against the narrow resolution window for the Incheon station reading, sustaining the strong market-implied probability for the upper outcome while leaving limited room for downward revision absent a significant forecast shift.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Pasar Dibuka: May 16, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
Volume
$89,090Tanggal Berakhir
May 18, 2026Pasar Dibuka
May 16, 2026, 12:03 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSIThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent forecasts from the Korea Meteorological Administration indicate Seoul will experience a mild late-spring day on May 18 under clear skies and light southwesterly flow, with daytime boundary-layer heating expected to push the official maximum to 25°C or higher. This outlook aligns with mid-May climatology at 37.5°N, where average highs range 23–26°C amid lengthening daylight and the seasonal retreat of cooler northerly air masses. Ensemble guidance shows modest spread around the central value, with warmer solutions tied to stronger mixing and slight cooling possible only if cloud cover increases or winds shift earlier than modeled. Traders are weighting these variables against the narrow resolution window for the Incheon station reading, sustaining the strong market-implied probability for the upper outcome while leaving limited room for downward revision absent a significant forecast shift.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$89,090Tanggal Berakhir
May 18, 2026Pasar Dibuka
May 16, 2026, 12:03 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSIRecent forecasts from the Korea Meteorological Administration indicate Seoul will experience a mild late-spring day on May 18 under clear skies and light southwesterly flow, with daytime boundary-layer heating expected to push the official maximum to 25°C or higher. This outlook aligns with mid-May climatology at 37.5°N, where average highs range 23–26°C amid lengthening daylight and the seasonal retreat of cooler northerly air masses. Ensemble guidance shows modest spread around the central value, with warmer solutions tied to stronger mixing and slight cooling possible only if cloud cover increases or winds shift earlier than modeled. Traders are weighting these variables against the narrow resolution window for the Incheon station reading, sustaining the strong market-implied probability for the upper outcome while leaving limited room for downward revision absent a significant forecast shift.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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