Recent official observations from Shanghai meteorological stations confirm a daily maximum temperature of 29°C on August 16, 2026, driving the market's near-certain consensus on this outcome. Late-day model runs from the China Meteorological Administration incorporated observed data showing limited afternoon heating under cloudy conditions and moderate humidity, keeping readings below initial 30–31°C forecasts. This alignment with verified station measurements—standard for such resolution—reflects traders' confidence in skin-in-the-game assessment of real-time data over earlier projections. A measurement revision or use of an atypical station threshold could theoretically shift results, though such changes remain improbable given consistent reporting protocols.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiHighest temperature in Shanghai on August 16?
Highest temperature in Shanghai on August 16?
29°C 100.0%
25°C or below <1%
26°C <1%
27°C <1%
$149,008 Vol.
$149,008 Vol.
Aug 16, 2026
25°C or below
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
100%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
<1%
34°C
<1%
35°C or higher
<1%
29°C 100.0%
25°C or below <1%
26°C <1%
27°C <1%
$149,008 Vol.
$149,008 Vol.
Aug 16, 2026
25°C or below
$324 Vol.
<1%
26°C
$1,293 Vol.
<1%
27°C
$7,299 Vol.
<1%
28°C
$46,601 Vol.
<1%
29°C
$32,237 Vol.
100%
30°C
$26,932 Vol.
<1%
31°C
$20,026 Vol.
<1%
32°C
$8,316 Vol.
<1%
33°C
$4,204 Vol.
<1%
34°C
$1,587 Vol.
<1%
35°C or higher
$353 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent official observations from Shanghai meteorological stations confirm a daily maximum temperature of 29°C on August 16, 2026, driving the market's near-certain consensus on this outcome. Late-day model runs from the China Meteorological Administration incorporated observed data showing limited afternoon heating under cloudy conditions and moderate humidity, keeping readings below initial 30–31°C forecasts. This alignment with verified station measurements—standard for such resolution—reflects traders' confidence in skin-in-the-game assessment of real-time data over earlier projections. A measurement revision or use of an atypical station threshold could theoretically shift results, though such changes remain improbable given consistent reporting protocols.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Aug 14, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Volume
$149,008Tanggal Berakhir
Aug 16, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Aug 14, 2026, 12:56 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPDResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent official observations from Shanghai meteorological stations confirm a daily maximum temperature of 29°C on August 16, 2026, driving the market's near-certain consensus on this outcome. Late-day model runs from the China Meteorological Administration incorporated observed data showing limited afternoon heating under cloudy conditions and moderate humidity, keeping readings below initial 30–31°C forecasts. This alignment with verified station measurements—standard for such resolution—reflects traders' confidence in skin-in-the-game assessment of real-time data over earlier projections. A measurement revision or use of an atypical station threshold could theoretically shift results, though such changes remain improbable given consistent reporting protocols.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$149,008Tanggal Berakhir
Aug 16, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Aug 14, 2026, 12:56 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent official observations from Shanghai meteorological stations confirm a daily maximum temperature of 29°C on August 16, 2026, driving the market's near-certain consensus on this outcome. Late-day model runs from the China Meteorological Administration incorporated observed data showing limited afternoon heating under cloudy conditions and moderate humidity, keeping readings below initial 30–31°C forecasts. This alignment with verified station measurements—standard for such resolution—reflects traders' confidence in skin-in-the-game assessment of real-time data over earlier projections. A measurement revision or use of an atypical station threshold could theoretically shift results, though such changes remain improbable given consistent reporting protocols.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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