Traders see 35°C and 36°C as nearly even favorites for Taipei’s August 17 high because ensemble forecasts from regional models show only marginal differences in peak daytime heating. Key variables include the strength of the subtropical ridge, which favors clear skies and strong insolation, versus any increase in low-level moisture or afternoon sea-breeze convergence that could cap temperatures. Historical August climatology places normal highs near 34–35 °C, so the slight upward bias in current guidance reflects above-average thickness values and limited cloud cover expected overnight into the 17th. Official updates from Taiwan’s Central Weather Administration and the next model cycle will determine whether the consensus shifts toward 36 °C or settles at 35 °C.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiHighest temperature in Taipei on August 17?
Highest temperature in Taipei on August 17?
35°C 43%
36°C 39%
34°C 11%
37°C 9%
BARU
BARU
Aug 17, 2026
28°C or below
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
1%
32°C
2%
33°C
3%
34°C
11%
35°C
43%
36°C
39%
37°C
9%
38°C or higher
1%
35°C 43%
36°C 39%
34°C 11%
37°C 9%
BARU
BARU
Aug 17, 2026
28°C or below
$71 Vol.
<1%
29°C
$71 Vol.
<1%
30°C
$71 Vol.
<1%
31°C
$126 Vol.
1%
32°C
$498 Vol.
2%
33°C
$245 Vol.
3%
34°C
$478 Vol.
11%
35°C
$295 Vol.
43%
36°C
$1,021 Vol.
39%
37°C
$446 Vol.
9%
38°C or higher
$136 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Traders see 35°C and 36°C as nearly even favorites for Taipei’s August 17 high because ensemble forecasts from regional models show only marginal differences in peak daytime heating. Key variables include the strength of the subtropical ridge, which favors clear skies and strong insolation, versus any increase in low-level moisture or afternoon sea-breeze convergence that could cap temperatures. Historical August climatology places normal highs near 34–35 °C, so the slight upward bias in current guidance reflects above-average thickness values and limited cloud cover expected overnight into the 17th. Official updates from Taiwan’s Central Weather Administration and the next model cycle will determine whether the consensus shifts toward 36 °C or settles at 35 °C.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Aug 15, 2026, 4:06 PM ET
Volume
$3,457Tanggal Berakhir
Aug 17, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Aug 15, 2026, 4:06 PM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSSResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Traders see 35°C and 36°C as nearly even favorites for Taipei’s August 17 high because ensemble forecasts from regional models show only marginal differences in peak daytime heating. Key variables include the strength of the subtropical ridge, which favors clear skies and strong insolation, versus any increase in low-level moisture or afternoon sea-breeze convergence that could cap temperatures. Historical August climatology places normal highs near 34–35 °C, so the slight upward bias in current guidance reflects above-average thickness values and limited cloud cover expected overnight into the 17th. Official updates from Taiwan’s Central Weather Administration and the next model cycle will determine whether the consensus shifts toward 36 °C or settles at 35 °C.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$3,457Tanggal Berakhir
Aug 17, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Aug 15, 2026, 4:06 PM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSSResolver
0x69c47De9D...Traders see 35°C and 36°C as nearly even favorites for Taipei’s August 17 high because ensemble forecasts from regional models show only marginal differences in peak daytime heating. Key variables include the strength of the subtropical ridge, which favors clear skies and strong insolation, versus any increase in low-level moisture or afternoon sea-breeze convergence that could cap temperatures. Historical August climatology places normal highs near 34–35 °C, so the slight upward bias in current guidance reflects above-average thickness values and limited cloud cover expected overnight into the 17th. Official updates from Taiwan’s Central Weather Administration and the next model cycle will determine whether the consensus shifts toward 36 °C or settles at 35 °C.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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