Current forecasts from Taiwan’s Central Weather Administration indicate a daily maximum near 31°C in Taipei on May 17, driven by light easterly flow, limited cloud cover, and typical early-season conditions before the full onset of the Meiyu front. These stable atmospheric patterns align with regional model consensus, supporting the market’s overwhelming 100% implied probability for the 31°C outcome. Historical May baselines for Taipei average 28–30°C under similar setups, adding confidence in the projected warmth. An unexpected surge in afternoon convection or a subtle shift in steering winds could still nudge the peak to 32°C or hold it at 30°C before official station readings finalize resolution.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiHighest temperature in Taipei on May 17?
Highest temperature in Taipei on May 17?
31°C 100.0%
23°C or below <1%
24°C <1%
25°C <1%
$111,647 Vol.
$111,647 Vol.
May 17, 2026
23°C or below
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
100%
32°C
<1%
33°C or higher
<1%
31°C 100.0%
23°C or below <1%
24°C <1%
25°C <1%
$111,647 Vol.
$111,647 Vol.
May 17, 2026
23°C or below
$1,818 Vol.
<1%
24°C
$1,853 Vol.
<1%
25°C
$1,227 Vol.
<1%
26°C
$3,535 Vol.
<1%
27°C
$3,351 Vol.
<1%
28°C
$5,753 Vol.
<1%
29°C
$4,850 Vol.
<1%
30°C
$60,918 Vol.
<1%
31°C
$8,881 Vol.
100%
32°C
$8,046 Vol.
<1%
33°C or higher
$11,416 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Current forecasts from Taiwan’s Central Weather Administration indicate a daily maximum near 31°C in Taipei on May 17, driven by light easterly flow, limited cloud cover, and typical early-season conditions before the full onset of the Meiyu front. These stable atmospheric patterns align with regional model consensus, supporting the market’s overwhelming 100% implied probability for the 31°C outcome. Historical May baselines for Taipei average 28–30°C under similar setups, adding confidence in the projected warmth. An unexpected surge in afternoon convection or a subtle shift in steering winds could still nudge the peak to 32°C or hold it at 30°C before official station readings finalize resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Pasar Dibuka: May 15, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
Volume
$111,647Tanggal Berakhir
May 17, 2026Pasar Dibuka
May 15, 2026, 12:05 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSSThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Current forecasts from Taiwan’s Central Weather Administration indicate a daily maximum near 31°C in Taipei on May 17, driven by light easterly flow, limited cloud cover, and typical early-season conditions before the full onset of the Meiyu front. These stable atmospheric patterns align with regional model consensus, supporting the market’s overwhelming 100% implied probability for the 31°C outcome. Historical May baselines for Taipei average 28–30°C under similar setups, adding confidence in the projected warmth. An unexpected surge in afternoon convection or a subtle shift in steering winds could still nudge the peak to 32°C or hold it at 30°C before official station readings finalize resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$111,647Tanggal Berakhir
May 17, 2026Pasar Dibuka
May 15, 2026, 12:05 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSSCurrent forecasts from Taiwan’s Central Weather Administration indicate a daily maximum near 31°C in Taipei on May 17, driven by light easterly flow, limited cloud cover, and typical early-season conditions before the full onset of the Meiyu front. These stable atmospheric patterns align with regional model consensus, supporting the market’s overwhelming 100% implied probability for the 31°C outcome. Historical May baselines for Taipei average 28–30°C under similar setups, adding confidence in the projected warmth. An unexpected surge in afternoon convection or a subtle shift in steering winds could still nudge the peak to 32°C or hold it at 30°C before official station readings finalize resolution.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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