Current forecasts from major models converge on a daily maximum of 28–29°C for Tel Aviv on June 15, 2026, under stable high-pressure conditions with moderate westerly flow. The Mediterranean sea breeze, driven by daytime land heating and typical coastal gradients, provides key moderation that historically caps June coastal highs near the seasonal 28–30°C average. Limited ensemble spread and absence of strong easterly intrusions or Saharan air mass advection keep higher outcomes as low-probability outliers, while minor variations in cloud cover timing or wind strength account for the tight split between the two leading resolutions. Updated runs from agencies like the Israel Meteorological Service will refine this assessment ahead of market close.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiHighest temperature in Tel Aviv on June 15?
28°C 45%
29°C 42%
27°C 7%
30°C 5.5%
25°C or below
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
7%
28°C
45%
29°C
42%
30°C
5%
31°C
1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
<1%
34°C
<1%
35°C or higher
<1%
28°C 45%
29°C 42%
27°C 7%
30°C 5.5%
25°C or below
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
7%
28°C
45%
29°C
42%
30°C
5%
31°C
1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
<1%
34°C
<1%
35°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Jun 13, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Current forecasts from major models converge on a daily maximum of 28–29°C for Tel Aviv on June 15, 2026, under stable high-pressure conditions with moderate westerly flow. The Mediterranean sea breeze, driven by daytime land heating and typical coastal gradients, provides key moderation that historically caps June coastal highs near the seasonal 28–30°C average. Limited ensemble spread and absence of strong easterly intrusions or Saharan air mass advection keep higher outcomes as low-probability outliers, while minor variations in cloud cover timing or wind strength account for the tight split between the two leading resolutions. Updated runs from agencies like the Israel Meteorological Service will refine this assessment ahead of market close.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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