Numerical weather prediction models from the Israel Meteorological Service and global ensembles currently converge on a daily maximum near 29–30°C for Tel Aviv on June 16, driving the tight market spread between those two leading outcomes. Coastal sea-breeze timing remains the dominant uncertainty: an earlier or stronger Mediterranean flow would cap readings at 29°C or below by enhancing marine moderation, while a delayed breeze under clear, subsiding high pressure could allow brief warming to 31°C. Typical early-June climatology shows average highs of 28–30°C with low precipitation risk, and no major synoptic shifts such as Sharav easterlies appear likely in the latest runs. Traders are monitoring the next 00Z and 12Z model cycles for any adjustments in boundary-layer wind forecasts ahead of market resolution.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiHighest temperature in Tel Aviv on June 16?
30°C 38%
29°C 29%
31°C 17%
28°C 4.9%
26°C or below
1%
27°C
1%
28°C
5%
29°C
29%
30°C
38%
31°C
17%
32°C
4%
33°C
<1%
34°C
1%
35°C
<1%
36°C or higher
1%
30°C 38%
29°C 29%
31°C 17%
28°C 4.9%
26°C or below
1%
27°C
1%
28°C
5%
29°C
29%
30°C
38%
31°C
17%
32°C
4%
33°C
<1%
34°C
1%
35°C
<1%
36°C or higher
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Jun 14, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Numerical weather prediction models from the Israel Meteorological Service and global ensembles currently converge on a daily maximum near 29–30°C for Tel Aviv on June 16, driving the tight market spread between those two leading outcomes. Coastal sea-breeze timing remains the dominant uncertainty: an earlier or stronger Mediterranean flow would cap readings at 29°C or below by enhancing marine moderation, while a delayed breeze under clear, subsiding high pressure could allow brief warming to 31°C. Typical early-June climatology shows average highs of 28–30°C with low precipitation risk, and no major synoptic shifts such as Sharav easterlies appear likely in the latest runs. Traders are monitoring the next 00Z and 12Z model cycles for any adjustments in boundary-layer wind forecasts ahead of market resolution.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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