Recent forecast model consensus from meteorological agencies indicates daytime highs in Tel Aviv on May 18 will likely peak near 30–31 °C, driven by a strengthening subtropical ridge promoting subsidence and clear skies across the eastern Mediterranean. Local factors such as reduced sea-breeze cooling and low-level easterly flow are expected to allow temperatures to exceed the May climatological average of 26–28 °C, while any late-day marine layer intrusion could cap readings below 32 °C. Ensemble spreads show modest uncertainty tied to exact timing of high-pressure center positioning, keeping the 30 °C and 31 °C outcomes closely competitive in trader assessments. Updated regional model runs tomorrow morning will provide the final data for resolution.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiHighest temperature in Tel Aviv on May 18?
30°C 39%
31°C 33.2%
32°C or higher 18.3%
29°C 11%
$12,972 Vol.
$12,972 Vol.
22°C or below
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
3%
29°C
11%
30°C
39%
31°C
33%
32°C or higher
18%
30°C 39%
31°C 33.2%
32°C or higher 18.3%
29°C 11%
$12,972 Vol.
$12,972 Vol.
22°C or below
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
3%
29°C
11%
30°C
39%
31°C
33%
32°C or higher
18%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Pasar Dibuka: May 16, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Recent forecast model consensus from meteorological agencies indicates daytime highs in Tel Aviv on May 18 will likely peak near 30–31 °C, driven by a strengthening subtropical ridge promoting subsidence and clear skies across the eastern Mediterranean. Local factors such as reduced sea-breeze cooling and low-level easterly flow are expected to allow temperatures to exceed the May climatological average of 26–28 °C, while any late-day marine layer intrusion could cap readings below 32 °C. Ensemble spreads show modest uncertainty tied to exact timing of high-pressure center positioning, keeping the 30 °C and 31 °C outcomes closely competitive in trader assessments. Updated regional model runs tomorrow morning will provide the final data for resolution.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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