Japan Meteorological Agency forecasts indicate a high near 24°C for Tokyo on May 14 under partly cloudy conditions with light southerly breezes, fueling trader consensus on 24°C (35.5% implied probability) slightly ahead of 25°C (28.0%), while 23°C trails at 20.0%. Model ensembles like GFS and ECMWF show spread, with GFS hinting at enhanced afternoon heating from reduced cloudiness and urban heat island amplification, versus ECMWF's cooler bias from potential overcast periods; historical May averages hover around 23°C, but above-normal seasonal outlooks add warmth potential. Key differentiators include peak insolation timing and boundary layer mixing, with JMA updates through midday May 14 poised to sharpen resolution amid typical short-range forecast uncertainty.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiHighest temperature in Tokyo on May 14?
Highest temperature in Tokyo on May 14?
24°C 33%
25°C 29%
23°C 21%
26°C 13%
BARU
$35,873 Vol.
BARU
$35,873 Vol.
May 14, 2026
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
6%
23°C
21%
24°C
33%
25°C
29%
26°C
13%
27°C or higher
4%
24°C 33%
25°C 29%
23°C 21%
26°C 13%
BARU
$35,873 Vol.
BARU
$35,873 Vol.
May 14, 2026
19°C
$1,433 Vol.
<1%
20°C
$4,639 Vol.
<1%
21°C
$4,086 Vol.
<1%
22°C
$5,125 Vol.
6%
23°C
$3,111 Vol.
21%
24°C
$3,276 Vol.
33%
25°C
$2,991 Vol.
29%
26°C
$3,099 Vol.
13%
27°C or higher
$4,075 Vol.
4%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Japan Meteorological Agency forecasts indicate a high near 24°C for Tokyo on May 14 under partly cloudy conditions with light southerly breezes, fueling trader consensus on 24°C (35.5% implied probability) slightly ahead of 25°C (28.0%), while 23°C trails at 20.0%. Model ensembles like GFS and ECMWF show spread, with GFS hinting at enhanced afternoon heating from reduced cloudiness and urban heat island amplification, versus ECMWF's cooler bias from potential overcast periods; historical May averages hover around 23°C, but above-normal seasonal outlooks add warmth potential. Key differentiators include peak insolation timing and boundary layer mixing, with JMA updates through midday May 14 poised to sharpen resolution amid typical short-range forecast uncertainty.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Pasar Dibuka: May 12, 2026, 12:47 AM ET
Volume
$35,873Tanggal Berakhir
May 14, 2026Pasar Dibuka
May 12, 2026, 12:47 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTTResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Japan Meteorological Agency forecasts indicate a high near 24°C for Tokyo on May 14 under partly cloudy conditions with light southerly breezes, fueling trader consensus on 24°C (35.5% implied probability) slightly ahead of 25°C (28.0%), while 23°C trails at 20.0%. Model ensembles like GFS and ECMWF show spread, with GFS hinting at enhanced afternoon heating from reduced cloudiness and urban heat island amplification, versus ECMWF's cooler bias from potential overcast periods; historical May averages hover around 23°C, but above-normal seasonal outlooks add warmth potential. Key differentiators include peak insolation timing and boundary layer mixing, with JMA updates through midday May 14 poised to sharpen resolution amid typical short-range forecast uncertainty.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$35,873Tanggal Berakhir
May 14, 2026Pasar Dibuka
May 12, 2026, 12:47 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTTResolver
0x69c47De9D...Japan Meteorological Agency forecasts indicate a high near 24°C for Tokyo on May 14 under partly cloudy conditions with light southerly breezes, fueling trader consensus on 24°C (35.5% implied probability) slightly ahead of 25°C (28.0%), while 23°C trails at 20.0%. Model ensembles like GFS and ECMWF show spread, with GFS hinting at enhanced afternoon heating from reduced cloudiness and urban heat island amplification, versus ECMWF's cooler bias from potential overcast periods; historical May averages hover around 23°C, but above-normal seasonal outlooks add warmth potential. Key differentiators include peak insolation timing and boundary layer mixing, with JMA updates through midday May 14 poised to sharpen resolution amid typical short-range forecast uncertainty.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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