Latest official forecasts from Environment Canada project sunny skies and a daytime high near 31°C for Toronto on May 18, driven by southwesterly flow and minimal cloud cover that favors strong solar heating. This positions the 30–31°C outcomes at the center of trader probabilities, while the 23.5% implied chance for 32°C or higher reflects residual model uncertainty in peak insolation and boundary-layer mixing. Historical May climatology for the region shows typical highs around 18–20°C, making the current warm anomaly notable yet within spring variability. Traders closely monitor any last-minute adjustments from updated model runs or shifts in wind patterns before tomorrow’s resolution at Toronto Pearson International Airport.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiHighest temperature in Toronto on May 18?
30°C 28%
32°C or higher 22%
31°C 22%
29°C 21%
$16,337 Vol.
$16,337 Vol.
22°C or below
<1%
23°C
1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
1%
26°C
2%
27°C
3%
28°C
9%
29°C
21%
30°C
28%
31°C
22%
32°C or higher
22%
30°C 28%
32°C or higher 22%
31°C 22%
29°C 21%
$16,337 Vol.
$16,337 Vol.
22°C or below
<1%
23°C
1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
1%
26°C
2%
27°C
3%
28°C
9%
29°C
21%
30°C
28%
31°C
22%
32°C or higher
22%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Pasar Dibuka: May 16, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Latest official forecasts from Environment Canada project sunny skies and a daytime high near 31°C for Toronto on May 18, driven by southwesterly flow and minimal cloud cover that favors strong solar heating. This positions the 30–31°C outcomes at the center of trader probabilities, while the 23.5% implied chance for 32°C or higher reflects residual model uncertainty in peak insolation and boundary-layer mixing. Historical May climatology for the region shows typical highs around 18–20°C, making the current warm anomaly notable yet within spring variability. Traders closely monitor any last-minute adjustments from updated model runs or shifts in wind patterns before tomorrow’s resolution at Toronto Pearson International Airport.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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