Recent forecasts from New Zealand's MetService and international models indicate a maximum temperature of 14–15°C in Wellington on May 18, supported by a stable high-pressure ridge and mild southerly airflow that limits daytime warming. This outcome aligns closely with mid-autumn climatology, where historical averages for the period fall between 13–16°C according to long-term NIWA records. Ensemble runs show limited spread, with low risk of stronger northerly winds or frontal systems that could push readings higher or trigger cooler conditions. Traders have concentrated positions around these values, reflecting the consensus from current observational trends and the narrow window for significant model shifts before the day resolves.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiHighest temperature in Wellington on May 18?
Highest temperature in Wellington on May 18?
14°C 55%
15°C 37%
13°C 6.8%
16°C 2.4%
BARU
$22,430 Vol.
BARU
$22,430 Vol.
May 18, 2026
8°C or below
<1%
9°C
<1%
10°C
<1%
11°C
<1%
12°C
1%
13°C
7%
14°C
55%
15°C
37%
16°C
2%
17°C
1%
18°C or higher
<1%
14°C 55%
15°C 37%
13°C 6.8%
16°C 2.4%
BARU
$22,430 Vol.
BARU
$22,430 Vol.
May 18, 2026
8°C or below
$681 Vol.
<1%
9°C
$485 Vol.
<1%
10°C
$540 Vol.
<1%
11°C
$4,720 Vol.
<1%
12°C
$2,298 Vol.
1%
13°C
$2,853 Vol.
7%
14°C
$2,791 Vol.
55%
15°C
$2,029 Vol.
37%
16°C
$3,959 Vol.
2%
17°C
$1,164 Vol.
1%
18°C or higher
$916 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wellington Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent forecasts from New Zealand's MetService and international models indicate a maximum temperature of 14–15°C in Wellington on May 18, supported by a stable high-pressure ridge and mild southerly airflow that limits daytime warming. This outcome aligns closely with mid-autumn climatology, where historical averages for the period fall between 13–16°C according to long-term NIWA records. Ensemble runs show limited spread, with low risk of stronger northerly winds or frontal systems that could push readings higher or trigger cooler conditions. Traders have concentrated positions around these values, reflecting the consensus from current observational trends and the narrow window for significant model shifts before the day resolves.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wellington Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wellington Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Pasar Dibuka: May 16, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
Volume
$22,430Tanggal Berakhir
May 18, 2026Pasar Dibuka
May 16, 2026, 12:04 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wellington Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent forecasts from New Zealand's MetService and international models indicate a maximum temperature of 14–15°C in Wellington on May 18, supported by a stable high-pressure ridge and mild southerly airflow that limits daytime warming. This outcome aligns closely with mid-autumn climatology, where historical averages for the period fall between 13–16°C according to long-term NIWA records. Ensemble runs show limited spread, with low risk of stronger northerly winds or frontal systems that could push readings higher or trigger cooler conditions. Traders have concentrated positions around these values, reflecting the consensus from current observational trends and the narrow window for significant model shifts before the day resolves.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wellington Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wellington Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$22,430Tanggal Berakhir
May 18, 2026Pasar Dibuka
May 16, 2026, 12:04 AM ETRecent forecasts from New Zealand's MetService and international models indicate a maximum temperature of 14–15°C in Wellington on May 18, supported by a stable high-pressure ridge and mild southerly airflow that limits daytime warming. This outcome aligns closely with mid-autumn climatology, where historical averages for the period fall between 13–16°C according to long-term NIWA records. Ensemble runs show limited spread, with low risk of stronger northerly winds or frontal systems that could push readings higher or trigger cooler conditions. Traders have concentrated positions around these values, reflecting the consensus from current observational trends and the narrow window for significant model shifts before the day resolves.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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