Recent short-range forecast models from the China Meteorological Administration show Wuhan's daily maximum temperature on May 17 settling at 28°C at the Tianhe International Airport station. Light southerly flow beneath a modest subtropical ridge supports daytime warming while partial cloud cover limits further intensification, producing conditions consistent with mid-May climatological norms of 25–30°C highs. Traders have converged on the 28°C outcome at near-100% implied probability because multiple model runs align tightly and historical records show low variance in this range. A sudden increase in insolation or shift in steering patterns could push readings to 29°C or higher, though current guidance indicates minimal likelihood before resolution.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiHighest temperature in Wuhan on May 17?
Highest temperature in Wuhan on May 17?
28°C 100.0%
29°C <1%
24°C or below <1%
25°C <1%
$53,807 Vol.
$53,807 Vol.
May 17, 2026
24°C or below
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
100%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
<1%
34°C or higher
<1%
28°C 100.0%
29°C <1%
24°C or below <1%
25°C <1%
$53,807 Vol.
$53,807 Vol.
May 17, 2026
24°C or below
$3,314 Vol.
<1%
25°C
$2,402 Vol.
<1%
26°C
$4,976 Vol.
<1%
27°C
$14,191 Vol.
<1%
28°C
$8,024 Vol.
100%
29°C
$3,645 Vol.
<1%
30°C
$3,461 Vol.
<1%
31°C
$3,797 Vol.
<1%
32°C
$7,021 Vol.
<1%
33°C
$1,615 Vol.
<1%
34°C or higher
$1,360 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent short-range forecast models from the China Meteorological Administration show Wuhan's daily maximum temperature on May 17 settling at 28°C at the Tianhe International Airport station. Light southerly flow beneath a modest subtropical ridge supports daytime warming while partial cloud cover limits further intensification, producing conditions consistent with mid-May climatological norms of 25–30°C highs. Traders have converged on the 28°C outcome at near-100% implied probability because multiple model runs align tightly and historical records show low variance in this range. A sudden increase in insolation or shift in steering patterns could push readings to 29°C or higher, though current guidance indicates minimal likelihood before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Pasar Dibuka: May 15, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
Volume
$53,807Tanggal Berakhir
May 17, 2026Pasar Dibuka
May 15, 2026, 12:05 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHHThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent short-range forecast models from the China Meteorological Administration show Wuhan's daily maximum temperature on May 17 settling at 28°C at the Tianhe International Airport station. Light southerly flow beneath a modest subtropical ridge supports daytime warming while partial cloud cover limits further intensification, producing conditions consistent with mid-May climatological norms of 25–30°C highs. Traders have converged on the 28°C outcome at near-100% implied probability because multiple model runs align tightly and historical records show low variance in this range. A sudden increase in insolation or shift in steering patterns could push readings to 29°C or higher, though current guidance indicates minimal likelihood before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$53,807Tanggal Berakhir
May 17, 2026Pasar Dibuka
May 15, 2026, 12:05 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHHRecent short-range forecast models from the China Meteorological Administration show Wuhan's daily maximum temperature on May 17 settling at 28°C at the Tianhe International Airport station. Light southerly flow beneath a modest subtropical ridge supports daytime warming while partial cloud cover limits further intensification, producing conditions consistent with mid-May climatological norms of 25–30°C highs. Traders have converged on the 28°C outcome at near-100% implied probability because multiple model runs align tightly and historical records show low variance in this range. A sudden increase in insolation or shift in steering patterns could push readings to 29°C or higher, though current guidance indicates minimal likelihood before resolution.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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