Latest numerical weather prediction models, including ECMWF and GFS runs, point to a minimum near 13°C in Ankara on September 16 under clear skies and light northerly flow that favors radiative cooling overnight. Recent observations show daytime highs around 24–26°C dropping sharply after sunset, consistent with seasonal norms for mid-September at Ankara’s elevation. Model spreads create the tight clustering of market-implied odds between 11°C and 14°C, reflecting uncertainty in exact nocturnal minimums and local measurement at official stations. Traders weigh these ensemble outputs against historical low-temperature distributions while awaiting the next model updates and final Turkish Meteorological Service readings.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiLowest temperature in Ankara on September 16?
Lowest temperature in Ankara on September 16?
11°C or below 71%
15°C 38%
16°C 38%
17°C 38%
BARU
BARU
Sep 16, 2026
11°C or below
71%
12°C
23%
13°C
29%
14°C
26%
15°C
38%
16°C
38%
17°C
38%
18°C
38%
19°C
13%
20°C
13%
21°C or higher
8%
11°C or below 71%
15°C 38%
16°C 38%
17°C 38%
BARU
BARU
Sep 16, 2026
11°C or below
$0 Vol.
71%
12°C
$0 Vol.
23%
13°C
$0 Vol.
29%
14°C
$0 Vol.
26%
15°C
$0 Vol.
38%
16°C
$0 Vol.
38%
17°C
$0 Vol.
38%
18°C
$0 Vol.
38%
19°C
$0 Vol.
13%
20°C
$0 Vol.
13%
21°C or higher
$0 Vol.
8%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest numerical weather prediction models, including ECMWF and GFS runs, point to a minimum near 13°C in Ankara on September 16 under clear skies and light northerly flow that favors radiative cooling overnight. Recent observations show daytime highs around 24–26°C dropping sharply after sunset, consistent with seasonal norms for mid-September at Ankara’s elevation. Model spreads create the tight clustering of market-implied odds between 11°C and 14°C, reflecting uncertainty in exact nocturnal minimums and local measurement at official stations. Traders weigh these ensemble outputs against historical low-temperature distributions while awaiting the next model updates and final Turkish Meteorological Service readings.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Sep 14, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Volume
$0Tanggal Berakhir
Sep 16, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Sep 14, 2026, 12:29 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltacResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest numerical weather prediction models, including ECMWF and GFS runs, point to a minimum near 13°C in Ankara on September 16 under clear skies and light northerly flow that favors radiative cooling overnight. Recent observations show daytime highs around 24–26°C dropping sharply after sunset, consistent with seasonal norms for mid-September at Ankara’s elevation. Model spreads create the tight clustering of market-implied odds between 11°C and 14°C, reflecting uncertainty in exact nocturnal minimums and local measurement at official stations. Traders weigh these ensemble outputs against historical low-temperature distributions while awaiting the next model updates and final Turkish Meteorological Service readings.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$0Tanggal Berakhir
Sep 16, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Sep 14, 2026, 12:29 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltacResolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest numerical weather prediction models, including ECMWF and GFS runs, point to a minimum near 13°C in Ankara on September 16 under clear skies and light northerly flow that favors radiative cooling overnight. Recent observations show daytime highs around 24–26°C dropping sharply after sunset, consistent with seasonal norms for mid-September at Ankara’s elevation. Model spreads create the tight clustering of market-implied odds between 11°C and 14°C, reflecting uncertainty in exact nocturnal minimums and local measurement at official stations. Traders weigh these ensemble outputs against historical low-temperature distributions while awaiting the next model updates and final Turkish Meteorological Service readings.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
Hati-hati dengan link eksternal.
Hati-hati dengan link eksternal.
Pertanyaan yang Sering Diajukan