Recent forecast guidance from the India Meteorological Department and global models points to a maximum temperature of 33–34°C in Lucknow on September 17, shaped by the retreating southwest monsoon that permits greater solar heating while lingering moisture fuels scattered cloud cover and isolated thundershowers. These conditions typically moderate peak readings compared with drier pre-monsoon periods, aligning with September climatological averages near 33°C and low historical odds of reaching 36°C or higher. The tight clustering of market-implied probabilities around 33°C and 34°C reflects uncertainty in local convective timing, boundary-layer moisture, and steering winds that determine whether daytime maxima edge higher or remain suppressed by afternoon rainfall. Updated model runs and official IMD briefings will provide the next key data points for resolution.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiHighest temperature in Lucknow on September 17?
Highest temperature in Lucknow on September 17?
33°C 38%
34°C 32%
32°C 20%
35°C 8%
BARU
BARU
Sep 17, 2026
27°C or below
<1%
28°C
1%
29°C
1%
30°C
2%
31°C
4%
32°C
20%
33°C
38%
34°C
32%
35°C
8%
36°C
2%
37°C or higher
<1%
33°C 38%
34°C 32%
32°C 20%
35°C 8%
BARU
BARU
Sep 17, 2026
27°C or below
$81 Vol.
<1%
28°C
$325 Vol.
1%
29°C
$57 Vol.
1%
30°C
$101 Vol.
2%
31°C
$399 Vol.
4%
32°C
$377 Vol.
20%
33°C
$876 Vol.
38%
34°C
$461 Vol.
32%
35°C
$228 Vol.
8%
36°C
$0 Vol.
2%
37°C or higher
$250 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast guidance from the India Meteorological Department and global models points to a maximum temperature of 33–34°C in Lucknow on September 17, shaped by the retreating southwest monsoon that permits greater solar heating while lingering moisture fuels scattered cloud cover and isolated thundershowers. These conditions typically moderate peak readings compared with drier pre-monsoon periods, aligning with September climatological averages near 33°C and low historical odds of reaching 36°C or higher. The tight clustering of market-implied probabilities around 33°C and 34°C reflects uncertainty in local convective timing, boundary-layer moisture, and steering winds that determine whether daytime maxima edge higher or remain suppressed by afternoon rainfall. Updated model runs and official IMD briefings will provide the next key data points for resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Sep 15, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Volume
$3,139Tanggal Berakhir
Sep 17, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Sep 15, 2026, 12:56 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilkResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast guidance from the India Meteorological Department and global models points to a maximum temperature of 33–34°C in Lucknow on September 17, shaped by the retreating southwest monsoon that permits greater solar heating while lingering moisture fuels scattered cloud cover and isolated thundershowers. These conditions typically moderate peak readings compared with drier pre-monsoon periods, aligning with September climatological averages near 33°C and low historical odds of reaching 36°C or higher. The tight clustering of market-implied probabilities around 33°C and 34°C reflects uncertainty in local convective timing, boundary-layer moisture, and steering winds that determine whether daytime maxima edge higher or remain suppressed by afternoon rainfall. Updated model runs and official IMD briefings will provide the next key data points for resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$3,139Tanggal Berakhir
Sep 17, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Sep 15, 2026, 12:56 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilkResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecast guidance from the India Meteorological Department and global models points to a maximum temperature of 33–34°C in Lucknow on September 17, shaped by the retreating southwest monsoon that permits greater solar heating while lingering moisture fuels scattered cloud cover and isolated thundershowers. These conditions typically moderate peak readings compared with drier pre-monsoon periods, aligning with September climatological averages near 33°C and low historical odds of reaching 36°C or higher. The tight clustering of market-implied probabilities around 33°C and 34°C reflects uncertainty in local convective timing, boundary-layer moisture, and steering winds that determine whether daytime maxima edge higher or remain suppressed by afternoon rainfall. Updated model runs and official IMD briefings will provide the next key data points for resolution.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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