**Trader consensus strongly favors an 18°C low for Chengdu on September 10, driven by consistent official forecasts showing overnight minima near 17–18°C amid persistent cloud cover, light rain, and high humidity.** Current observations from multiple sources, including Chinese meteorological reports and international models, indicate daytime highs around 22°C with minimal diurnal range due to overcast skies and precipitation that limit radiative cooling. Recent developments, including ongoing light rain and northeast winds under 3–4 levels, have kept temperatures stable without sharp drops. Historical September baselines for the region typically feature lows in the mid-to-upper teens, aligning with the current pattern. No major model shifts or sudden clearing have altered this outlook, supporting the market-implied probability near 90% for 18°C while leaving lower thresholds like 15°C or below as lower-probability outliers.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiLowest temperature in Chengdu on September 10?
Lowest temperature in Chengdu on September 10?
18°C 89%
15°C 15%
14°C or below 1.0%
16°C 1.0%
$1,201 Vol.
$1,201 Vol.
Sep 10, 2026
14°C or below
No
15°C
No
16°C
No
17°C
No
18°C
Yes
19°C
No
20°C
No
21°C
No
22°C
No
23°C
No
24°C or higher
No
18°C 89%
15°C 15%
14°C or below 1.0%
16°C 1.0%
$1,201 Vol.
$1,201 Vol.
Sep 10, 2026
14°C or below
$35 Vol.
No
15°C
$17 Vol.
No
16°C
$87 Vol.
No
17°C
$129 Vol.
No
18°C
$158 Vol.
Yes
19°C
$229 Vol.
No
20°C
$156 Vol.
No
21°C
$55 Vol.
No
22°C
$80 Vol.
No
23°C
$170 Vol.
No
24°C or higher
$85 Vol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader consensus strongly favors an 18°C low for Chengdu on September 10, driven by consistent official forecasts showing overnight minima near 17–18°C amid persistent cloud cover, light rain, and high humidity.**
Current observations from multiple sources, including Chinese meteorological reports and international models, indicate daytime highs around 22°C with minimal diurnal range due to overcast skies and precipitation that limit radiative cooling. Recent developments, including ongoing light rain and northeast winds under 3–4 levels, have kept temperatures stable without sharp drops. Historical September baselines for the region typically feature lows in the mid-to-upper teens, aligning with the current pattern. No major model shifts or sudden clearing have altered this outlook, supporting the market-implied probability near 90% for 18°C while leaving lower thresholds like 15°C or below as lower-probability outliers.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Sep 8, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Volume
$1,201Tanggal Berakhir
Sep 10, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Sep 8, 2026, 12:30 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuuResolver
0x69c47De9D...Hasil diajukan: No
Tidak ada sengketa
Hasil akhir: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader consensus strongly favors an 18°C low for Chengdu on September 10, driven by consistent official forecasts showing overnight minima near 17–18°C amid persistent cloud cover, light rain, and high humidity.**
Current observations from multiple sources, including Chinese meteorological reports and international models, indicate daytime highs around 22°C with minimal diurnal range due to overcast skies and precipitation that limit radiative cooling. Recent developments, including ongoing light rain and northeast winds under 3–4 levels, have kept temperatures stable without sharp drops. Historical September baselines for the region typically feature lows in the mid-to-upper teens, aligning with the current pattern. No major model shifts or sudden clearing have altered this outlook, supporting the market-implied probability near 90% for 18°C while leaving lower thresholds like 15°C or below as lower-probability outliers.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$1,201Tanggal Berakhir
Sep 10, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Sep 8, 2026, 12:30 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuuResolver
0x69c47De9D...Hasil diajukan: No
Tidak ada sengketa
Hasil akhir: No
**Trader consensus strongly favors an 18°C low for Chengdu on September 10, driven by consistent official forecasts showing overnight minima near 17–18°C amid persistent cloud cover, light rain, and high humidity.** Current observations from multiple sources, including Chinese meteorological reports and international models, indicate daytime highs around 22°C with minimal diurnal range due to overcast skies and precipitation that limit radiative cooling. Recent developments, including ongoing light rain and northeast winds under 3–4 levels, have kept temperatures stable without sharp drops. Historical September baselines for the region typically feature lows in the mid-to-upper teens, aligning with the current pattern. No major model shifts or sudden clearing have altered this outlook, supporting the market-implied probability near 90% for 18°C while leaving lower thresholds like 15°C or below as lower-probability outliers.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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