Recent ensemble forecasts from models including ECMWF and GFS indicate a minimum temperature near 21–23°C in Chongqing on September 14, driven by persistent cloud cover, light rain, and light easterly winds limiting nocturnal cooling. Historical September climatology places typical overnight lows around 21–22°C, with radiative cooling suppressed by humidity near 70–85% and urban heat effects. Trader sentiment splits between the 26°C+ and 16°C– brackets because small shifts in precipitation timing or model bias on boundary-layer moisture could push the low several degrees either way, while specific-temperature contracts cluster near the forecast consensus. Updated runs from the China Meteorological Administration and next NWP cycles will likely narrow the range before resolution.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiLowest temperature in Chongqing on September 14?
26°C or higher 75%
16°C or below 74%
22°C 40%
17°C 39%
16°C or below
74%
17°C
39%
18°C
39%
19°C
21%
20°C
27%
21°C
27%
22°C
40%
23°C
39%
24°C
39%
25°C
39%
26°C or higher
75%
26°C or higher 75%
16°C or below 74%
22°C 40%
17°C 39%
16°C or below
74%
17°C
39%
18°C
39%
19°C
21%
20°C
27%
21°C
27%
22°C
40%
23°C
39%
24°C
39%
25°C
39%
26°C or higher
75%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuck
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Sep 12, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Sumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuckResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuck
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Sumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuckResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent ensemble forecasts from models including ECMWF and GFS indicate a minimum temperature near 21–23°C in Chongqing on September 14, driven by persistent cloud cover, light rain, and light easterly winds limiting nocturnal cooling. Historical September climatology places typical overnight lows around 21–22°C, with radiative cooling suppressed by humidity near 70–85% and urban heat effects. Trader sentiment splits between the 26°C+ and 16°C– brackets because small shifts in precipitation timing or model bias on boundary-layer moisture could push the low several degrees either way, while specific-temperature contracts cluster near the forecast consensus. Updated runs from the China Meteorological Administration and next NWP cycles will likely narrow the range before resolution.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
Hati-hati dengan link eksternal.
Hati-hati dengan link eksternal.
Pertanyaan yang Sering Diajukan