Official observations from the Hong Kong Observatory recorded a minimum temperature of exactly 23 °C overnight on May 16, 2026, driving the market’s near-certain positioning. In Hong Kong’s subtropical climate during mid-May, prevailing stable high-pressure ridges and light winds typically suppress radiational cooling, keeping overnight lows within the narrow 22–25 °C range consistent with seasonal climatology. This measured value aligns precisely with model consensus and historical analogs for the period, leaving virtually no room for deviation once the verified data were released. Any challenge to the outcome would require a post-hoc revision of the official record, an exceedingly rare occurrence given the Observatory’s rigorous instrumentation and quality controls.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiLowest temperature in Hong Kong on May 16?
Lowest temperature in Hong Kong on May 16?
23°C 100.0%
18°C or below <1%
19°C <1%
24°C <1%
$38,336 Vol.
$38,336 Vol.
May 16, 2026
18°C or below
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
100%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C or higher
<1%
23°C 100.0%
18°C or below <1%
19°C <1%
24°C <1%
$38,336 Vol.
$38,336 Vol.
May 16, 2026
18°C or below
$2,220 Vol.
<1%
19°C
$1,380 Vol.
<1%
20°C
$676 Vol.
<1%
21°C
$2,786 Vol.
<1%
22°C
$1,677 Vol.
<1%
23°C
$3,722 Vol.
100%
24°C
$7,233 Vol.
<1%
25°C
$8,433 Vol.
<1%
26°C
$5,324 Vol.
<1%
27°C
$2,252 Vol.
<1%
28°C or higher
$2,634 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official observations from the Hong Kong Observatory recorded a minimum temperature of exactly 23 °C overnight on May 16, 2026, driving the market’s near-certain positioning. In Hong Kong’s subtropical climate during mid-May, prevailing stable high-pressure ridges and light winds typically suppress radiational cooling, keeping overnight lows within the narrow 22–25 °C range consistent with seasonal climatology. This measured value aligns precisely with model consensus and historical analogs for the period, leaving virtually no room for deviation once the verified data were released. Any challenge to the outcome would require a post-hoc revision of the official record, an exceedingly rare occurrence given the Observatory’s rigorous instrumentation and quality controls.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Pasar Dibuka: May 13, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Volume
$38,336Tanggal Berakhir
May 16, 2026Pasar Dibuka
May 13, 2026, 12:30 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official observations from the Hong Kong Observatory recorded a minimum temperature of exactly 23 °C overnight on May 16, 2026, driving the market’s near-certain positioning. In Hong Kong’s subtropical climate during mid-May, prevailing stable high-pressure ridges and light winds typically suppress radiational cooling, keeping overnight lows within the narrow 22–25 °C range consistent with seasonal climatology. This measured value aligns precisely with model consensus and historical analogs for the period, leaving virtually no room for deviation once the verified data were released. Any challenge to the outcome would require a post-hoc revision of the official record, an exceedingly rare occurrence given the Observatory’s rigorous instrumentation and quality controls.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$38,336Tanggal Berakhir
May 16, 2026Pasar Dibuka
May 13, 2026, 12:30 AM ETOfficial observations from the Hong Kong Observatory recorded a minimum temperature of exactly 23 °C overnight on May 16, 2026, driving the market’s near-certain positioning. In Hong Kong’s subtropical climate during mid-May, prevailing stable high-pressure ridges and light winds typically suppress radiational cooling, keeping overnight lows within the narrow 22–25 °C range consistent with seasonal climatology. This measured value aligns precisely with model consensus and historical analogs for the period, leaving virtually no room for deviation once the verified data were released. Any challenge to the outcome would require a post-hoc revision of the official record, an exceedingly rare occurrence given the Observatory’s rigorous instrumentation and quality controls.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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